After a thrilling weekend in Scotland you can expect a more restrained atmosphere this week when the PGA Tour heads to the Twin Cities area of Minnesota for the fourth playing of the 3M Open. Let's look at 3M Open Matchup Picks.
After a thrilling weekend in Scotland you can expect a more restrained atmosphere this week when the PGA Tour heads to the Twin Cities area of Minnesota for the fourth playing of the 3M Open. There is a dip in the talent pool with most big names taking the week off following the final major of the season. Nonetheless we will see a strong field of players at the top of the odds board led by betting favorite Tony Finau, who along with Hideki Matsuyama and Sungjae Im are the only players with shorter than 20/1 odds in the outright market. Cameron Champ is back to defend the title he won last year and Chez Reavie, who earned the title at last week’s Barracuda Championship, are among the field with all of them featured in tournament matchups. Visit BookMaker.eu for a complete updated list of matchup odds when you’re ready to place a wager.
3M Open Matchup Odds
Tony Finau -135 vs. Hideki Matsuyama +105
Tony Finau -130 vs. Sungjae Im +100
Hideki Matsuyama -120 vs. Sungjae Im -110
Maverick McNealy -115 vs. Adam Hadwin -115
Maverick McNealy -120 vs. Davis Riley -110
Adam Hadwin -120 vs. Davis Riley -110
Sahith Theegala -110 vs. Cameron Tringale -120
Sahith Theegala -120 vs. J.T. Poston -110
Cameron Tringale -140 vs. J.T. Poston +110
Brendan Steele -150 vs. Chez Reavie +120
Brendan Steele -130 vs. Adam Long +100
Chez Reavie +105 vs. Adam Long -135
Brendon Todd -140 vs. Ryan Palmer +110
Martin Laird -130 vs. Nick Hardy +100
Emiliano Grillo -140 vs. Dylan Frittelli +110
Wyndham Clark +110 vs. Adam Svensson -140
Rickie Fowler -120 vs. Jason Day -110
Christopher Gotterup +100 vs. Matthew NeSmith -130
C.T.Pan -135 vs. Doug Ghim +105
Matthias Schwab -105 vs. Lucas Glover -125
Greyson Sigg +110 vs. Tyler Duncan -140
Stephan Jaeger -125 vs. John Huh -105
Stewart Cink -150 vs. Danny Willett +120
Nick Taylor +100 vs. Tom Hoge -130
Michael Thompson -115 vs. Andrew Putnam -115
Patton Kizzire +100 vs. Michael Gligic -130
Cameron Champ +100 vs. Beau Hossler -130
Hayden Buckley -130 vs. Kramer Hickok +100
Lee Hodges -135 vs. Sam Ryder +105
Scott Piercy -105 vs. Ryan Moore -125
Nate Lashley -130 vs. Adam Schenk +100
Need to Know
A long time stop on the Champions Tour, TPC Twin Cities was renovated prior to the PGA Tour’s arrival in 2019. The track stretches to 7,431 yards at par 71. And there isn’t a lot of data to work with since the tournament is just in its fourth year. The Arnold Palmer design features upwards of 30 water hazards with a number of strategically-placed bunkers sprinkled throughout. The obstacles shouldn’t impede too much and low scores are expected. Champ carded a bogey-free final round 66 to finish at 15-under last year, the worst score among the three previous winners. There are reasons for that, however the layout is straightforward and avoiding obstacles will lead to lower scores.
3M Open Matchup Picks
Cameron Champ +100 vs. Beau Hossler
It’s been a struggle for the defending champ Champ with five straight MCs and 10 total in 16 starts this season. I was surprised to see him at even money when the odds surfaced considering his shoddy play. But being the last player to win this tournament carries some weight with oddsmakers, I guess. His problems are baffling and Champ’s too good to continue the free fall. He didn’t play poorly last time out shooting even-par at the Deere Classic but missed the cut by a few swings. A return to a happy place is what he needs to get over the hump.
Chez Reavie +105 vs. Adam Long
Months of strong play led Reavie to his win last week at the Tahoe Mountain Club and the hope is that after reaching the pinnacle he doesn’t slow down. He finished among the top-15 three times in six starts prior to last week’s win and barely fell below the cut line twice. There’s always the chance that he breathes a heavy sigh, which is why we don’t often see players go back-to-back. That and a full-field have an effect. It took him a while to get here and I don’t think he’s ready to cool off. His strong showing here last year is another reason for optimism.
J.T. Poston +110 vs. Cameron Tringale
When Poston is good he’s been really good which is why I have no issue throwing down on him, especially at his plus-odds price. Prior to his MC at The Open he won the Deere Classic and was T2 at the Travelers. He also has a T3 and T9 in his last 10 starts. The negative is that when he stumbles he stumbles hard with five MCs in those last 10 outings. This is a field more to his liking and Poston’s been strong in metrics that are relevant to the TPC Twin Cities layout.
Adam Hadwin -120 vs. Davis Riley
Hadwin also missed the cut at the Deere Classic ending a run of decent form that saw him place among the top-10 at the U.S. Open last month, his fifth this season. Add that to the way he’s played at TPC Twin Cities and Hadwin is a good bet in the outright market, too. I don’t need him for the outright but I am banking on another good finish to go along with his solo fourth in 2019 and T6 last year when his scoring average was 67.38.
Tony Finau -130 vs. Sungjae Im
There are better value picks out there, but backing Finau just feels right this week. He regained the consistent form that made him one of the top players and he has a familiarity with this event few have. He has just one MC in his last 10 starts with a pair of runner-up finishes and a T4 included. He closed The Open with a sparkling 66 giving a boost of confidence heading into an event he’s completed all three times with a podium finish in 2020.
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