You don’t put a run of success together like the New England Patriots have enjoyed over the past nearly two decades by taking teams lightly. And that won’t affect the Pats in their Divisional Round game against the Tennessee Titans. New England was the favorite to win the Super Bowl at the beginning of the year and although there were some moments of doubt early in the season, they are the favorite among the remaining playoff teams.
And it just wouldn’t be the postseason without made up controversy and distractions surrounding the Pats. They couldn’t enjoy the bye without having to hear that Bill Belichick is leaving or Tom Brady threw a party when his backup Jimmy Garoppolo was traded. That’s the kind of stuff that ignites Brady and keeps the Pats focused on their only goal. That goal is, of course, beating the Titans and they’ll have to handle a Titans’ run game that came alive last week. The Titans aren’t expected to win this game and they have nothing to lose as a 13-point underdog, and that makes them a scary club.
It would be easy to overlook the Titans, who backed into the postseason and didn’t look overly impressive against a Kansas City team that let one slip away. Meanwhile, coordinators Josh McDaniels and Matt Patricia are interviewing for head coaching jobs in between practices. But the Pats are in a good spot to make their eighth trip to the Super Bowl in the Brady/Belichick era, and as Tom Terrific said recently, “It never gets old.”
2017 Record: 13-3
2017 ATS Record: 11-5
2017 Over/Under Total Record: 7-9
Current Super Bowl Odds: +177
Current Odds to Win AFC: -195
Current Odds to Win AFC East: N/A
Current NFL Odds: Patriots -13
Over/Under Total: 47
Patriots vs. Titans NFL Preview: The New England Patriots are double-digit favorites on Saturday night, as they host the Tennessee Titans in an AFC Divisional Playoff game that can be seen on CBS. The Titans are coming off a big comeback win last week against Kansas City, while the Patriots had a bye. Not many people are giving the Titans any chance in this game, as they are nearly two touchdown underdogs. Continue
Wild Card Round: BYE
Week 17: Patriots 26, Jets 6
ATS Result: Patriots -17
Over/Under Total Result: Under 43.5
The frigid conditions played a part in the score ending below the total, but so did the Jets pathetic offense. The Pats held New York to 247 total yards and didn’t allow a third-down conversion in 12 tries. Meanwhile, the offense did enough as the Pats covered a double-digit spread for the second straight game. Brady struggled but his two scoring passes late in the first half were the dagger. Helped by defensive penalties, Brady tossed short scoring passes to Brandin Cooks and Dion Lewis to build a 21-3 halftime lead.
Week 16: Patriots 37, Bills 16
ATS Result: Patriots -11
Over/Under Total Result: Over 47.5
The Pats weren’t sharp in the first half, but they escaped with a tie after the Bills had an apparent touchdown overturned on video review. They then used a 24-point spurt to close the game after Buffalo had taken a 16-13 lead early in the third quarter. The Pats ran for 193 yards with Dion Lewis getting a career-high 129 and a touchdown. He added another score on a reception as the Pats covered the spread and cashed the over for the second consecutive game.
Week 15: Patriots 27, Steelers 24
ATS Result: Patriots -2.5
Over/Under Total Result: Under 52.5
The return of Gronk certainly helped Brady in the passing game, but it was Dion Lewis who scored the game-clinching points in the Pats’ comeback win. Down 24-16 in the fourth, Stephen Gostkowski got the Pats closer nailing a field goal with under four minutes remaining. The defense forced a three-and-out and Brady orchestrated the final drive, hitting Gronk for the 2-point conversion after Lewis scored with 56 seconds left. Pitt’s apparent go-ahead score was overturned on a review and instead of settling for the tie and overtime, the Steelers went for the win, only to have Harmon intercept a tipped ball in the end zone.
Week 14: Dolphins 27, Patriots 20
ATS Result: Dolphins +10.5
Over/Under Total Result: Under 48
The Pats couldn’t get anything going against an inspired Dolphins team. New England took a 7-6 lead in the second quarter with a drive aided by a pass interference penalty. They had no answer for Jay Cutler, who tossed three scoring passes, the last putting the Pats in a 27-10 hole late in the third. New England scored early in the fourth to get within 10, but they went three-and-out on their next three drives and ran out of time.
Week 13: Patriots 23, Bills 3
ATS Result: Patriots -7.5
Over/Under Total Result: Under 48.5
Brady went without a touchdown pass for the first time since the opener, but the Pats still won by 20 to easily cover the spread for a sixth straight game. The run game produced nearly 200 yards with Rex Burkhead scoring twice in the third to put the contest out of reach, and the defense was dominant, holding Buffalo to 268 yards without a touchdown.
Week 12: Patriots 35, Dolphins 17
ATS Result: Patriots -17
Over/Under Total Result: Over 49
The Pats scored the first two times they had the ball and the outcome was never in doubt. The suspense was whether they would cover the 17-point spread. And thanks to Brady’s fourth quarter scoring pass to Brandin Cooks, they did for a fifth straight game. The late score also allowed the over to cash.
Week 11: Patriots 33, Raiders 8
ATS Result: Patriots -7
Over/Under Total Result: Under 55
Brady was masterful completing his first 12 passes and throwing a pair of first-half touchdowns to stake the Pats to a 17-0 halftime lead. He buried Oakland with a deep ball to Brandin Cooks on the first series of the second half and the Pats were never threatened in covering the spread for a fourth straight game. The Pats kept Oakland out of the end zone until the fourth quarter, falling well below the closing total.
Week 10: Patriots 41, Broncos 16
ATS Result: Patriots -7
Over/Under Total Result: Over 45
Brady tossed three scoring passes and the Pats exorcised some demons in their win over the Broncos with a convincing decision. They got plenty of help from Denver, though. After going three-and-out on their first possession, the Pats recovered a muffed punt and Brady tossed his first TD a few plays later for a lead the Pats would not relinquish. They also blocked a punt and had a kickoff return for a TD to cover for a third straight game.
Week 9: BYE
Week 8: Patriots 21, Chargers 13
ATS Result: Patriots -6.5
Over/Under Total Result: Under 49
The Patriots scored just one offensive touchdown, but defense and special teams were solid in a second straight cover. Outside of an 87-yard scoring run from Melvin Gordon, the Pats shut down Philip Rivers and the Chargers offense while getting four Stephen Gostkowski field goals and a safety on punt coverage to cover the 6.5-point line. The offensive struggles, coupled with an improved defense allowed the under to cash for a fourth straight game.
Week 7: Patriots 23, Falcons 7
ATS Result: Patriots -3
Over/Under Total Result: Under 56.5
The Pats scored the first 23 points with the help of Brady’s two TDs and three Stephen Gostkowski field goals, and they let the defense do the rest to cover the 3-point line. It wasn’t the shootout many expected and the total was the highest on the board for the week. The Pats kept Atlanta off the scoreboard until late in the fourth quarter and they easily cashed the under.
Week 6: Patriots 24, Jets 17
ATS Result: Jets +9
Over/Under Total Result: Under 48.5
The Pats overcame a 14-point deficit by rolling out 24 unanswered points to get the win. It wasn’t pretty and they benefitted from a replay review that overturned a Jets touchdown. It wasn’t the crispest outing from Brady, who threw for 258 yards on 38 attempts, but the Pats came away with the win. A late Jets field goal allowed them to cover the 9-point spread and the under cashed for a second straight game.
Week 5: Patriots 19, Buccaneers 14
ATS Result: Patriots -3.5
Over/Under Total Result: Under 54.5
The Pats got a lot of help from Tampa’s suspect kicking game, but the defense came up with a stop when the Bucs had a chance to win the game on the final possession. It was a much-needed stand and one that came a week after the Pats lost on a last-second field goal. Brady put up good numbers, but a pair of turnovers squelched drives and kept the score below the closing total for the first time this season.
Week 4: Panthers 33, Patriots 30
ATS Result: Panthers +9
Over/Under Total Result: Over 48
The Pats have surpassed the closing total in every game thanks to an offense that ranks second in scoring and a defense that ranks next to last. Brady threw for over 300 yards and a pair of touchdowns but was overshadowed by Cam Newton’s 316 yards and three scores as New England failed to cover as a heavy a heavy favorite for the second straight week.
Week 3: Patriots 36, Texans 33
ATS Result: Texans +13.5
Over/Under Total Result: Over 44.5
The Pats needed every big of Brady’s 378 passing yards and five scores to overcome the Texans in a game that saw them favored by two touchdowns. New England didn’t cover, but they were thrilled to get out with a win on Brady’s scoring toss to Cooks with 25 seconds left on the clock. Defense continues to be a sore spot, but with Brady lighting it up, the total was exceeded early in the third quarter.
Week 2: Patriots 36, Saints 20
ATS Result: Patriots -5.5
Over/Under Total Result: Over 55
Just like in their opener, the Pats took the opening kickoff and marched down the field for a touchdown to take the lead. This time, the Pats kept coming and also played a little defense. Brady tossed three first quarter scoring passes to build a 20-3 lead. Up 27-13 late in the first half, the Saints turned the ball over on downs at the Pats 25. New England moved down the field and converted a field goal as time expired for a 30-13 bulge at the break. The Saints scored with 5:04 left in the game to surpass the total, giving the Pats a 2-0 mark on the over.
Week 1: Chiefs 42, Patriots 27
ATS Result: Chiefs +8
Over/Under Total Result: Over 47.5
Not only did the Pats fail to cover the 8-point spread, they lost outright for just the third time in their last 20 contests when favored by at least eight points. Their inability to slow down Smith, Tyreek Hill and Kareem Hunt also gave over bettors a victory in the third quarter.
Preseason Record: 1-3
ATS Record: 1-3
Over/Under Total Record: 4-0
The Pats had to part with their third quarterback Jacoby Brissett to get Dorsett, leaving Brady and Jimmy Garoppolo as the only QB’s on the roster. Outside of the 2008 season when he tore up his knee in the opener, Brady hasn’t missed a start due to injury since. Brady was sacked just 15 times last season and he had his highest completion percentage in nearly a decade. The line may be better this year and Brady will have plenty of opportunities to pick opponents apart.
Week 1: Patriots vs. Chiefs, Thursday, September 7, 8:30 p.m. ET – NBC
Week 2: Patriots at Saints, Sunday, September 17, 1 p.m. ET – CBS
Week 3: Patriots vs. Texans, Sunday, September 24, 1 p.m. ET – CBS
Week 4: Patriots vs. Panthers, Sunday, October 1, 1 p.m. ET – FOX
Week 5: Patriots at Buccaneers, Thursday, October 5, 8:25 p.m. ET – CBS
Week 6: Patriots at Jets, Sunday, October 15, 1 p.m. ET – CBS
Week 7: Patriots vs. Falcons, Sunday, October 22, 8:30 p.m. ET – NBC
Week 8: Patriots vs. Chargers, Sunday, October 29, 1 p.m. ET – CBS
Week 9: Bye Week
Week 10: Patriots at Broncos, Sunday, November 12, 8:30 p.m. ET – NBC
Week 11: Patriots at Raiders, Sunday, November 19, 4:25 p.m. ET – CBS
Week 12: Patriots vs. Dolphins, Sunday, November 26, 1 p.m. ET – CBS
Week 13: Patriots at Bills, Sunday, December 3, 1 p.m. ET – CBS
Week 14: Patriots at Dolphins, Monday, December 11, 8:30 p.m. ET – ESPN
Week 15: Patriots at Steelers, Sunday, December 17, 4:25 p.m. ET – CBS
Week 16: Patriots vs. Bills, Sunday, December 24, 1 p.m. ET – CBS
Week 17: Patriots vs. Jets, Sunday, December 31, 1 p.m. ET – CBS
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