If you’re thinking the retirement of Bob Stoops means Oklahoma Sooners football is going to slide, you better think again. It was just a matter of time before Lincoln Riley became a college head coach, it just happened to come quicker than most expected. And the oddsmakers don’t seem too concerned about the coaching change with the Sooners pegged as a big favorite to win their third straight Big 12 title. There are question marks around the rest of the conference, but OU has Heisman candidate Baker Mayfield back running the show, and that should be enough to get them to the Big 12 Championship game.
The Oklahoma Sooners have been a part of the College Football Playoff in two of the tournaments four years of existence. They seem to follow an every other year type pattern. Boomer Sooner participated in the grand gala last season where they fell to the Georgia Bulldogs 54-48 in a double overtime thriller that still has fans and bettors of the sport still coming down from.
It’s going to be a strange time in Norman this upcoming season. It will be the first in three years without lightning rod Baker Mayfield lining up under center. While many are quick to give Lincoln Riley the benefit of the doubt due to his offensive genius, there is going to be a learning curve with the new crop coming in.
That’s one of the main reasons why “No” is the -600 favorite as to whether or not the Sooners qualify for the CFP this season. That along with a number of other question marks on both sides of the ball. Will either Kyler Murray or Austin Kendall allow for the OU faithful to quickly forget about Mayfield? Can a major playmaker or two rise on a young and deep defense to make up for the offenses likely early season struggles?
Regardless, Oklahoma enters its 2018 campaign the odds on +121 favorite to win the Big 12 on the college football betting futures odds a fourth straight season. They also sport a season win total of 10 with 12 games on the docket. The betting markets also seem to be bullish on the Sooners surpassing that impost with -130 chalk attached to the over.
Uncertainty is why oddsmakers aren’t as high on this team as the public seems to be. Replacing Mayfield is going to be a chore regardless of the fact that OU’s offense is stout up front, has an 1,100 yard rusher back in Rodney Anderson, and speed to burn with Marquise Brown headlining a deep and talented receiver corps.
Mayfield’s absence will also effect the defense whom he bailed out a number of times over the last couple seasons. For all intents and purposes, Oklahoma’s defense was ordinary last season. It got torched through the air on a number of occasions, and gave up nearly 28.0 points per game. Not much is back on that side of the ball to get truly excited about in 2018-19.
Oklahoma’s offseason losses makes the Big 12 that much more wide open. That’s clearly evidenced in the futures odds to win the conference with four other teams possessing less than 8-1 returns to win it. The Sooners schedule is packed with landmines, and they come extremely quick with games lined up against UCLA at home the second week of the season followed by a trip to Ames where the upset minded Iowa State Cyclones will await the following week.
They also have the Red River Showdown with a Texas Longhorns team many expect to be in the running for the Big 12 title. Also don’t forget about the road trips to TCU immediately after and the season finale in Morgantown against a West Virginia squad hungry to snap their longstanding futility against the Sooners ( 0-6 SU L/6 ).
It’s certainly within the realm of possibility that Oklahoma loses two if not four games over the course of the regular season. As already stated, the Big 12 is a crapshoot this season and the Sooners have way too many question marks than definite answers entering it. This could be the year OU’s defense is exposed even more with three All-American offensive players having since moved on to the NFL.
It’s possible the offense doesn’t have it in them to mask the defensive issues, so for that reason and a number of others, I’d be looking to attack Oklahoma on a week-to-week basis instead of tying up funds for the long haul. If not, hit the under on OU’s season win total. At worst, I believe you push.
Week 1: Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma, Saturday, September 1, 12 p.m. ET – FOX
Week 2: UCLA at Oklahoma, Saturday, September 8, 1 p.m. ET – FOX
Week 3: Oklahoma atIowa State, Saturday, September 15, 8 p.m. ET – ABC
Week 4: Army at Oklahoma, Saturday, September 22
Week 5: Baylorat Oklahoma, Saturday, September 29
Week 6: Texas vs. Oklahoma, Saturday, October 6
Week 7: Bye Week
Week 8: Oklahoma at TCU, Saturday, October 20
Week 9: Kansas State at Oklahoma, Saturday, October 27
Week 10: Oklahoma at Texas Tech, Saturday, November 3
Week 11: Oklahoma State at Oklahoma, Saturday, November 10
Week 12: Kansas at Oklahoma, Saturday, November 17
Week 13: Oklahoma at West Virginia, Friday, November 23, 12 p.m. ET – ESPN
The College football season is here, and that means there are plenty of stats and information out there to make accurate decisions when investing in the betting lines and totals moving forward.
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Here are the individual conference break downs for each conference. If you click on the conference links we will also break down each school team by team sorted by conference.
|SEC Conference||Big 10 Conference|
|ACC Conference||Big 12 Conference|
|Pac 12 Conference||Big East Conference|
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