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Always Dreaming - 143 Derby Contender and Odds

Home > Racebooks > Derby Horse Predictions > Kentucky Derby - Always Dreaming

Always Dreaming – Possible 143 Derby Contender and Post Position

The 143 Kentucky Derby is restricted to only 20 Kentucky Derby runners and will run on Saturday, May 6, 2017, for the first leg of the Triple Crown.

Here is the latest look at Always Dreaming, one of the contenders for the 2017 Kentucky Derby to be run at Churchill Downs.

Always Dreaming Kentucky Derby Bio

Owners: Brooklyn Boyz Stables, Teresa Viola Racing Stables

Trainer: Todd Pletcher

Pedigree: Bodemeister – Above Perfection, by In Excess

Last Race Result: 1st Place, Florida Derby, 4/1/17

Always Dreaming Career Statistics

Starts: 5

Wins: 3

Places: 1

Shows: 1

Earnings: $648,900

Always Dreaming Kentucky Derby Odds

Before Always Dreaming won the Florida Derby, you could have gotten this colt at 66 to 1 at Now all of a sudden, he's being booked at 4 to 1. Obviously, there's a big overlay here, and the odds on Always Dreaming will come down when it's time to head to the track at Churchill Downs the first week of May. That said, the rise this pony has been on has been nothing short of remarkable. This was a colt who was a has been at the end of his two-year old year, one of the many who had great breeding and flat out poor results. But a switch to Todd Pletcher as his trainer and John Velazquez as his jockey has been gold for Always Dreaming, and all of a sudden, he's won his last three races, all of which have come by at least four lengths.

It's not just the fact that Always Dreaming is now always winning. It's that he hasn't looked like he has broken a sweat in any of his races to get to this point either. Will he ultimately be the Derby favorite? We doubt it. But he'll be close.

Always Dreaming Kentucky Derby Analysis

We really want to like Always Dreaming, and perhaps with a better price on his head at the Kentucky Derby, we will make him a piece of our exotic plays. This Pletcher colt has all of the right looks to him. He's a big horse, is a stalker, clearly has the distance in him to get the mile and a half and shouldn't be intimidated by running against a bigger field in spite of the fact that he's never seen more than 10 ( and never more than five serious contenders ) on the track at the same time.

The best part about Always Dreaming is the fact that he never looks stressed on the track. There are stalkers out there who flat out look like they're exerting themselves to the fullest just to keep up with the pace. Always Dreaming has been able to go wire-to-wire in the past, and he's settled down a couple lengths off the pace with a few horses between he and the lead, and he hasn't looked frazzled in either of those roles.

The problem will come if he gets off to a bad start at the Kentucky Derby. There are obviously at least a half dozen other horses who will ideally like to be sitting in the third to fifth range around the first turn with inside position, and only one or two will actually get there. The best horses find ways to win when they aren't comfortable with the pace in the early going of the races, and that could be what Always Dreaming brings to the table. He's got both good stalking and good early running in his pedigree, and the fact that he was initially sold for $350,000 is a sure sign that he's got the goods to be able to compete at this level.

Always Dreaming has been a favorite everywhere he has gone. The Florida Derby was a bit of an exception to that with Gunnevera running in that race as well, but the bottom line has remained the same. The last two words on his chart in his last three races have read, "ridden out," and that's as good as it gets.

The Pletcher/Velazquez combo has had a lot of success over the years, but the last time Pletcher won a Kentucky Derby was in 2010 with Super Saver, while the last time Velazquez took a pony to the winner's circle on the first Saturday of May at Churchill Downs was in 2011 with Animal Kingdom. These two have produced a lot of winners together, but they've also produced a lot of horses in the last five years who have had a lot of promise without ultimately putting together the final product. Buyer beware with Always Dreaming for sure.

With a maximum of 20 horses accepted into the Kentucky Derby field, there is a significant vetting process to qualify the horses among this group of three-year olds. A points system is in place to reward winners and other top finishers of the main races leading into the Derby. The Top 20 horses will get the first opportunity to run in the Kentucky Derby, though as horses bow out of the process, the next ones in the standings are given their chances until the field of 20 is set.

The Road to the Kentucky Derby wraps up the second week of April, thus ending a grueling stretch of eight months of qualifying for the top colts in the world. The field won't be finalized until the Kentucky Derby post draw on Wednesday, May 3.

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Kentucky Derby 143 Entries:

Below are some of the contenders that will possibly run the day of the race. There are 20 Derby Contenders for the race but these are the most likely ones will be confirmed a place at the event.

Possible 2017 Kentucky Derby Contenders:

Rank Horse Points Non-Restricted Stakes Earnings Graded Stakes Earnings Breeder Trainer Owner
1 Girvin 150 $840,000 $840,000 Bob Austin & John Witte Joe Sharp Brad Grady
2 Gormley 125 $884,000 $884,000 Castleton Lyons & Kilboy Estate John Shirreffs Moss, Mr. and Mrs. Jerome S.
3 Irish War Cry 110 $676,660 $616,660 Isabelle de Tomaso H. Motion Isabelle de Tomaso
4 Irap 108 $760,000 $738,000 Aaron & Marie Jones Doug O'Neill Reddam Racing LLC
5 Always Dreaming 100 $589,000 $589,000 Santa Rosa Partners Todd Pletcher St Elias, Teresa Viola Racing Stables, Brooklyn Boys, MEB Stables
6 Gunnevera 84 $1,137,800 $1,134,200 Brandywine Farm & Stephen Upchurch Antonio Sano Peacock Racing Stables, LLC
7 Practical Joke 74 $966,000 $966,000 Whispering Oaks Chad Brown Klaravich Stables, Inc. and Lawrence, William H.
8 J Boys Echo 63 $305,000 $305,000 Betz, Blackburn, J. Betz, Ramsby, CNHHNK Dale Romans Albaugh Family Stables LLC
9 State of Honor 62 $310,364 $280,000 Manfred Conrad & Penny Conrad Mark Casse Conrad Farms
10 Mastery 60 $480,000 $480,000 Stone Farm Bob Baffert Cheyenne Stables LLC
11 Tapwrit 54 $325,570 $280,000 My Meadowview LLC Todd Pletcher Bridlewood Farm, Eclipse Thoroughbred Partners and LaPenta, Robert V.
12 Epicharis (JPN) 50 $753,381 $400,000 Masatsugu Kamada Kiyoshi Hagiwara Carrot Farm
13 Malagacy 50 $540,000 $540,000 John Trumbulovic Todd Pletcher Sumaya U.S. Stable
14 McCraken 40 $385,048 $335,320 Whitham Thoroughbreds, LLC Ian Wilkes Whitham Thoroughbreds LLC
15 Battle of Midway 40 $224,000 $224,000 Thor-Bred Stables, LLC Jerry Hollendorfer Fox Hill Farms, Inc.
16 Patch 40 $200,000 $200,000 Calumet Farm Todd Pletcher Calumet Farm
17 Battalion Runner 40 $140,000 $140,000 Dell Ridge Farm, LLC Todd Pletcher St. Elias Stable
18 Cloud Computing 40 $135,000 $135,000 Hill 'n' Dale Equine Holdings, Inc & Stretch Run Ventures, LLC Chad Brown Klaravich Stables, Inc. and Lawrence, William H.
19 Mont Saint Legame (JPN) 40 $0 $0 Kawashima Bokujo Koji Maki Shinichi Yamashita
20 Untrapped 34 $210,000 $210,000 Indian Creek & Jonathan Sheppard Steven Asmussen Michael Langford
21 Classic Empire 32 $1,493,820 $1,493,820 Steven Nicholson & Brandi Nicholson Mark Casse John C. Oxley
22 El Areeb 30 $330,000 $270,000 Dixiana Farms LLC Cathal Lynch M M G Stables, LLC
23 Royal Mo 30 $213,000 $213,000 Brandywine Farm John Shirreffs Moss, Mr. and Mrs. Jerome S.
24 Local Hero 30 $140,000 $140,000 Three Chimneys Farm LLC Steven Asmussen e Five Racing Thoroughbreds

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