Germany vs. Mexico
Date and Time: Thursday, June 29, 2 p.m. ET
Location: Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi, Russia
Soccer Odds: Germany +105, O/U 2.5
Germany vs. Mexico TV Coverage: FOX Sports 2
Germany had some nervy moments along the way in the Confederations Cup, but in the end, seven points from three matches is a result that Joachim Low probably will be satisfied with. The real test though, comes right now.
Julian Draxler has proven to be a solid captain for this team on the road to the semifinals, but he hasn't been tested in a match quite like this one against a Mexican team that is big, physical, and plodding. These Germans much prefer playing a wide open brand of soccer, as demonstrated by the fact that they allowed four goals in the group stage of this tourney and still easily won the foursome.
Mexico is playing with a lot of pressure on its shoulders right now. Juan Carlos Osorio will probably live to tell about the Confederations Cup at this point, but the Mexican media remembers what happened the last time the team was in a one-and-done situation. El Tri were beaten by Chile 7-0 in the Copa America last year, and that nearly saw Osorio get sacked on the spot even though it was his first loss ever as the national team coach.
The offense hasn't been the problem for Mexico in this tournament. El Tri have put two in the back of the net in all three matches against Portugal, Russia and New Zealand, and their buildup at times has been stellar.
That said, there are still issues on the counterattack. The Mexicans nearly faced disaster against Russia on Saturday, allowing an opening goal 25 minutes into the match. Fortunately, they rallied for two goals in a span of 22 minutes thereafter, the first from Nestor Araujo which really set the tone for the rest of the fixture.
3 – The number of players who have scored two goals in this tournament. Two of the three happen to be playing for Germany.
The German front line is awfully young and inexperienced. Timo Werner is still a regular on the U-21 team for Germany, but he really made a name for himself last season at RB Leipzig, scoring 21 goals in 31 appearances for his club. He's been awesome here in this tournament, making his second, third and fourth career appearances for the national team and scoring a pair of goals in the process. Both goals came against Cameroon and buried a match that could have gotten a little shaky in the end.
Lars Stindl is also appearing for just the second, third and fourth times in his career at the top flight. He, too has two goals under his belt, including a brilliant strike to draw level with Chile.
Germany vs. Mexico Free Picks
It's really hard to trust either of these teams right now. They both put together draws in their biggest match in the group stage and took care of business otherwise. Neither team has been able to see matches out comfortably, and both have had moments where they just flat out haven't looked their best.
That said, we're going to go with the value here. Mexico has choked time and time again in these big spot in knockout rounds, but we know it has the more experienced side for matches like this. If the Germans start to get a little tight and are thrown off their game with a lack of possession, they could end up getting the affair taken to them. That would be a first for these youngsters, and we can't trust them as favorites to adapt correctly.
Germany vs. Mexico Soccer Pick: Mexico +280 at BookMaker.eu
Germany vs. Mexico Score Prediction: Mexico 2, Germany 1