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UFC Fight Night 116 Odds - Thiago Alves vs. Mike Perry Betting Preview

UFC Fight Night 116 Odds

“Platinum” Mike Perry is one of those guys that seems like he was born to fight. Like the Diaz bros, he’s got a nasty mean mug, talks trash and throws down. But unlike the Stockton duo, Perry is a one-punch KO machine: 10-1, with 10 KOs. If he puts a few more dudes on ice, it’s easy to see him becoming a cult hero.

This Saturday, Perry will meet former welterweight title challenger Thiago “Pitbull” Alves - who is no stranger to violence himself. It’s not only a fun matchup between two tanks, but an important one for Perry if he ever wants to be more than just a headhunter.

Check out our top-rated sportsbooks for the best UFC odds on this matchup. Today, we’re breaking down the scrap and picking the best values.

UFC odds at
Mike Perry -185
Thiago Alves +150
Over/under 1.5 rounds, over -125, under -115

Fight Preview

At 25 years old, Perry has got that brash confidence that comes with youth and unreal punching power. Like a young McGregor or Mike Tyson, Platinum is a guy who truly believes he can walk down and knock out anybody. With one decision loss to Alan Jouban being the exception, it’s a strategy that’s worked.

There’s nothing pretty to his game, but it’s badass nonetheless. Perry walks straight forward, eats leather and intends to return fire tenfold. His footwork and head movement need work - especially if he wants to prolong his career - but you can’t teach the poise he has under fire.

In terms of aggression, Alves used to be a lot like Perry. “The Pitbull” earned a 2009 title shot at then-champion Georges St. Pierre with deadly Muay Thai skills, knocking out guys like Matt Hughes, Karo Parisyan and Chris Lytle with an assortment of strikes, from knees to punches.

However, after more than 15 years in the fight game, the 33-year old Alves is a much more patient fighter. All the wear and tear he’s accumulated over the years is catching up to him. While his strikes still pack plenty of pop, he no longer takes so much risk to deliver fight-changing blows.

To stop an up-and-comer like Perry, Alves should follow Alan Jouban’s playbook. Jouban refused to get drawn into a firefight, picking Perry apart with technical combinations. Alves showed in his most recent outing against Patrick Cote that he still possesses crisp Thai boxing skills, but Perry is far more dangerous than Cote.

UFC Betting Tips

Alves is a live ‘dog here. He’s got the experience and the skillset to make this a much closer fight than the odds would indicate. However, we also have to concede that Perry is faster, more athletic and more dangerous at this stage in their respective careers. Alves doesn’t have the wrestling to force Perry into a wrestling match, which means this turns into a kickboxing match. In that scenario, Perry’s power is the pick.

UFC Odds Pick: Perry to win at -185

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