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Sand Point Stakes
|PP ||Horse ||Jockey ||Trainer ||Odds |
|1 ||Barkaa ||T. Gaffalione ||C. Brown ||3-1 |
|2 ||Shadan ||M. Franco ||C. Brown ||12-1 |
|3 ||Capla Temptress ||T. McCarthy ||W. Mott ||7-2 |
|4 ||Reversethedecision ||I. Ortiz Jr. ||C. Brown ||5-1 |
|5 ||Victorine ||V. Cheminaud ||H. Pantall ||8-1 |
|6 ||Colonia ||J. Bravo ||H. Motion ||6-1 |
|7 ||Californiagoldrush ||F. Prat ||N. Drysdale ||6-1 |
|8 ||Secret Message ||J. Velazquez ||H. Motion ||5-1 |
Barkaa is a slight 3-1 morning line favorite. The concern if you like this horse is that she will be making his first start in the U.S. after racing in France. The horse won four of his seven starts in France, including a win in the Group 3 Prix Vanteaux at Longchamp Racecourse in April. Barkaa was not as good last time out, as she finished ninth by just over three lengths in the Group 1 Prix de Diane Longines in June.
You can throw a net around the next six horses in this race. Trainer Graham Motion has stakes winners Secret Message and Colonia. Secret Message is coming off a good win in the Grade 3 Pucker Up Stakes at Arlington Park on Aug. 11, while Colonia finished fifth in the Grade 1 Del Mar Oaks.
“Secret Message is a big, long-striding, scopey horse,” Motion said to the media. “The other horse is a little more compact. They have somewhat similar styles. I guess they would both benefit from a bit of pace, but they don’t have to be out the back, either.”
Californiagoldrush was third in the Del Mar Oaks but won her first two starts, while Capla Temptress was second in the Grade 2 Lake Placid. Victorine, is another French horse who has won two of six starts.
Reversethedecision is coming off an optional claiming win in July at Saratoga Race Course. The horse is a 3-year old brown filly by Scat Daddy. The horse finished a close second to Dark Artist in her stakes debut on May 26.
The only horse listed at double-digit odds on the morning line is Shadan for trainer Chad Brown. The horse has won her last two starts, although both of those races were at smaller tracks in France. This is not an especially strong field, so Shadan is not without a chance to hit the board.
Sand Point Stakes Predictions
This is a very difficult race to predict, as I think you can make a case for any of these horses. I would probably not take Shadan simply because it is a big step up in class, but horse could definitely be in the mix. I don’t know that I want any part of the favored Barkaa whose odds are simply too low for me in this race. I don’t know that Barkaa is a great horse and I am always concerned about taking a horse making her first start in this country.
In a race where you can make a case for a large number of horses I like to look at the jockeys as the tie breaker. Prat had a great meet at Del Mar and is now considered one of the top jockeys in the world and Velazquez is also a top jockey. I think you can make a case for taking Californiagoldrush or Secret Message and both are listed at better odds than the favorite. I will take a shot with both horses and hope to get the win with one of the two.
The Sand Point Stakes takes place on Saturday, September 15 at Belmont Park with a start time of 5:53 p.m. Eastern.
Check out the latest Sand Point Stakes odds at BookMaker.eu.