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Preakness Stakes Longshot Picks

Horse Racing Prediction

The Preakness Stakes is a race notorious for producing a lot of big time favorites as winners. The winner of the Kentucky Derby often comes to Baltimore and puts down the rest of the field, and that very well might be the case with Always Dreaming on Saturday as well. He's an even money favorite and figures to be odds-on no matter which post he draws on Wednesday, but there are going to be some others to watch for sure in this field of 11.

Preakness Stakes Date and Time: Saturday, May 20, 2017, 6:45 p.m. ET
Location: Pimlico Race Course, Baltimore, MD
Favorite on Preakness Stakes Odds: Always Dreaming ( +100 )
Preakness Stakes TV Coverage: NBC

Classic Empire ( +300 )

Alright, so Classic Empire isn't really a "longshot" by definition, but he's clearly the biggest threat to end the Triple Crown bid of Always Dreaming. He had a terrible run at the Kentucky Derby and still managed to get up to fourth, and that tells us that he has a lot more in the tank for the second leg of the Triple Crown. The two-year old champion has a lot in him for sure, and that was shown by his whopping 108 Beyer Speed Rating at the Breeders' Cup Juvenile last November at Santa Anita. If he can figure out how to get a better ride from Julien Leparoux at the Preakness Stakes, his stalking style should play well and give him an opportunity to run down Always Dreaming at the end. Don't be shocked if this ends up being a duel down the stretch between the two top horses.

Gunnevera ( +1300 )

This is just an inexcusable price on a horse that, just two races ago, was favored over Always Dreaming at the Florida Derby. Sure, the Kentucky Derby champ also went on to win the Florida Derby, but oddsmakers don't often get things wrong by this wide of a margin. Gunnevera is a darn good horse. He's running in an eighth straight graded stakes race, and for the most part, he's either been the favorite or amongst the favorites in those races. We love that he was a well-bet upon horse at the Kentucky Derby, closing the gap on the top four every step of the way at the mutuels, even if he did finish seventh. This overlay here is ridiculous. Gunnevera should be the third favorite as we see it at a price of more like 8 to 1, and that value is too good to pass.

Multiplier ( +1800 )

Multiplier has only run in four races in his career, and just one of those was a race against previous winners. The Illinois Derby usually is a really good prep for the Preakness, and we can't help but wonder if whooping that field of seven is going to be a good sign for the second leg of the Triple Crown. Multiplier posted a 104 Beyer Speed Rating to win at Hawthorn, the fastest speed in a last race for any horse in this field.

Cloud Computing ( +1900 )

Sometimes there's just really good value on a horse, and Cloud Computing might have it. He actually had enough points to qualify for the Kentucky Derby and didn't end up running because his connections suggested that he didn't have enough "seasoning" to run against 19 others. It's true that Cloud Computing has only run against fields of eight or smaller, and this might end up being a problem here in the Preakness Stakes. But we're talking about a colt who was a 5 to 2 second favorite at the Wood Memorial. Sure, he finished third, but he posted a solid 94 Beyer Speed Rating on the back of his 100 at the Gotham Stakes, and trainer Chad Brown knows what he's doing. It's not that we really believe that Cloud Computing is going to win the Preakness. He's got a shot, but it's a long one at best. At least he's got a chance though, and that's more than we can say for a long of these longshots who probably shouldn't have been put into this field.