Triple Crown Betting Lines
California Chrome -210
Wicked Strong +180
The good news here is that California Chrome doesn't have to ultimately win the Triple Crown in order to beat the horse racing betting lines for this prop. He just has to beat a pony which he should start comfortably in front of and ultimately probably finish in front of, too.
We know that regardless of whether this race is a mile, a mile and a half, or seven miles, that California Chrome is going to start up near the front. The argument could be made that he could end up being a wire-to-wire winner, knowing that there isn't a whole heck of a lot of speed going out to the head of the pack with him. We also know that Wicked Strong is a massive closer, and he is going to try to come out of the parking lot to beat the horse racing gambling lines.
We saw this play out at the Kentucky Derby just a month ago. Wicked Strong had a lousy post at #19, just as he does in this race at #9. He really didn't do well getting positioned at Churchill Downs, and he ultimately ended up never having enough time to get to the head of the pack. The truth of the matter is that Commanding Curve, a nearly 40 to 1 longshot, had the better close that day at the Kentucky Derby, and we all basically forgot about the fact that Wicked Strong could have gotten up at the wire had he had another two furlongs or so to go.
The other factor that we hate here about Wicked Strong is that we only know that he has won one major race in his career. He won the Wood Memorial over Samraat and Uncle Sigh, and he has a maiden victory to his credit as well. For that reason, we're definitely not sold that he has a shot to beat the horse racing wagering lines against California Chrome.
Horse Racing Prediction – It's not a bad price here on Wicked Strong, but there are some serious questions about either one of these horses being able to go the distance. In the end, there's a reason that California Chrome is a 3 to 5 favorite on the track, and we have to think that the sportsbooks are going to follow suit and drop him from his even money stance by the time this race goes off. This -210 price is certainly going to rise, and we have to think that jumping on this now is the right bet.
Ride California Chrome H2H Vs. Wicked Strong