Could we be on the verge of the second time in horse racing history that three-year olds won the Kentucky Derby, Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes in successive years? Nyquist surely looked the part at the Run for the Roses, though there's a lot of racing to go for him to win the Triple Crown.
You can find horse racing odds at BookMaker.eu at the online racebook.
Nyquist is a +350 choice to win the Triple Crown right now, and if nothing else, we know that the math is good on him to pull it off.
Last year, American Pharoah was 4 to 5 to win the Preakness and 3 to 5 to win the Belmont. He had longer odds than Nyquist did to win the Kentucky Derby, and he wasn't an undefeated horse as this year's Derby champ still is.
If we go under the assumption that Nyquist will be similarly lined to win the Preakness and the Belmont as American Pharoah was last year, his correct price to win the Triple Crown would be +288, far less than the +350 on the board at BookMaker.eu.
If you choose to bet against Nyquist, you can do so at -530 as we head into the off week before the Preakness.
BETTER THAN PHAROAH?
It's easy to try to compare what Nyquist has done at this point in his career versus where American Pharoah was at after winning the Derby. In actuality, there really isn't a comparison.
Nyquist is still undefeated in eight races. American Pharoah was beaten in a maiden offering right out of the gates in his career, and he only had five wins under his belt in six shots after winning the Run for the Roses.
American Pharoah also ran the Derby in 2:03.02, almost two seconds slower than Nyquist finished the 1 1/4 miles in on Saturday.
BREEDING A CONCERN TO FINISH BELMONT
The biggest concern most have with Nyquist is his breeding. He doesn't have a lot of distance in him as American Pharoah had, and he doesn't have the big structure and bones that another Triple Crown hopeful, Big Brown had a few years ago.
Nyquist, in fact, was really tabbed to be a one-mile horse more than anything else when he was born. He just kept winning all of his prep races though, and Doug O'Neill really had no choice but to run him in the Kentucky Derby. Maybe he would've been caught had the race been at 1 5/16 miles or 1 3/8 by a hard-charging Exaggerator, but Mario Gutierrez really never had to go to the whip in the closing few strides to preserve the victory.
Even though the price is certainly right here to back Nyquist to win the Triple Crown, we just don’t see it out of him. He's going to have to win these races coming up basically from wire to wire or close to it, and that just isn't his game. He's not going to have the luxury of running in a stalking spot as Pharoah did in all three of his Triple Crown races, and the way this field is constructed with so many big time closers, it's only a matter of time until he gets run down if either fatigue or general distance are the issues.
Nyquist is a fantastic horse, and we'll go so far to say that he's the best three-year old in this field. It's just incredibly hard to win the Triple Crown, and we think somewhere along the way, Nyquist will end up suffering his first career loss.
Horse Racing Odds: Nyquist to not win the Triple Crown (-530)