Belmont Stakes Odds at BookMaker.eu
1: Governor Malibu + 1624
2: Destin + 1122
3: Cherry Wine + 1220
4: Suddenbreakingnews + 626
5: Stradivari + 640
6: Gettysburg + 5250
7: Seeking the Soul + 4050
8: Forever d'Oro + 2570
9: Trojan Nation + 3283
10: Lani + 2091
11: Exaggerator + 165
12: Brody's Cause + 1422
13: Creator + 827
Even though there are a lot of question marks at the Belmont Stakes, the one factor which won't be in doubt is that #6 Gettysburg will be the horse out on the lead. He's going to be the biggest longshot on the board, and he could reasonably feature a price of 60 to 1 at the end of the day when the horses go to post. He's got the only real speed in this race, and he was entered with the sole purpose of trying to hang in there and hit the board while running wire-to-wire.
Of course, a horse which has never run any sort of distance like this is always going to be in question, especially since Gettysburg fell apart in the last eighth of a mile in the 1 1/8-mile Arkansas Derby.
The questions begin with who will actually go out with Gettysburg. With a jockey change from the Kentucky Derby, #4 Suddenbreakingnews could end up having a completely different ride. Mike Smith, the new jockey on this horse, loves starting as a stalker instead of as a deep closer, and that might make all the difference in the world to Suddenbreakingnews. Don't be surprised if he starts up top as well, though unlike Gettysburg, there's a real chance he hangs in there every step of the way.
History will tell you that you don't want to start too deep in the pack at the Belmont Stakes, and that's why #11 Exaggerator, the favorite to win the race is going to be the most intriguing horse in this 13-colt field. Many feel that he and #13 Creator are going to run in the middle of the pack and make their surge together with about a half of a mile to go.
We have some questions for both horses, though. Can Exaggerator really run a third race in five weeks and be one of just two horses in the field to do it? And is Creator truly justified as a modest middling favorite after finishing 13th at the Kentucky Derby and needing six tries to break his maiden?
At that point, we're just out to find some really good value on these horses. #12 Brody's Cause is one of the many deep closers who could have a say in the final decision. He's clearly incredibly talented, as demonstrated by the fact that Prime Power has him ranked fourth of the 13 colts in this field, and his close at the Blue Grass Stakes in which he beat #3 Cherry Wine, the second place finisher at the Preakness, was as impressive of a close as you'll see.
Though putting Brody's Cause in our box makes sense, we think he's going to finish just outside of the Top 4 due to the fact that his history of getting around a slew of traffic isn't good.
What's left in our eyes are our two favorite horses in this field for value, #10 Lani and #8 Forever d'Oro. Both of these ponies have a lot in common. They're both coming off of races which were a lot better than they seemed on paper. They're both really big underdogs. They're both really deep closers. And most importantly, they've both got amazing breeding for this distance.
Lani might present the best value in this field. He's getting stronger and stronger on American soil with each passing stride he takes, and his last quarter of a mile at the Preakness was the best quarter any horse ran in that race. Perhaps Yutaka Take is starting to figure out exactly how Lani needs to be positioned to win at this level, and if that's the case, he could really ultimately find a way to put away the rest of the deep closers and pull off a shocker at the Belmont Stakes.
Belmont Stakes Odds
#7 Forever d'Oro