Here is a look at Saturday’s race and Belmont predictions.
Belmont Stakes Odds
Cherry Wine 6-1
Governor Malibu 12-1
Brody’s Cause 17-1
Forever d’Oro 35-1
Seeking the Soul 35-1
Trojan Nation 35-1
Belmont Stakes Handicapping
There are definite questions as to whether Exaggerator should be listed as a big favorite in this race. He did look good in winning the Preakness but that was in the slop. Now the horse has to go a mile and a half after running just three weeks ago. There are three other horses expected to go off at single-digit odds in Suddenbreakingnews, Cherry Wine and Stradivari. Suddenbreakingnews was fifth in the Kentucky Derby; Cherry Wine was second in the Preakness while Stradivari was fourth in the Preakness.
You can make a case for Suddenbreaking news but there is very little value in him at odds of 5-1. He should like the added distance but again, odds of 5-1 are simply too low. The same can be said about Cherry Wine who would benefit from a fast pace in the Belmont as he is a deep closer. But at odds of 6-1 there is no value. Stradivari should have the stamina to win this race as his sire, Medaglia d’Oro, ran second in the 2002 Belmont.
An interesting longshot is Creator who will go off at double-digit odds for trainer Steve Asmussen. He got a bad trip in the Derby so you can write that off and he is a good closer. He should also get a lot of help from Gettysburg who was entered to provide a lot of early speed in this race. Another horse going off at double-digit odds to consider is Destin for trainer Todd Pletcher who can’t win the Derby but he can win the Belmont. He has two Belmont wins and his horses normally do really well after five weeks off.
Exaggerator might just be good enough to win this race but I am not taking him at odds-on. I think Creator and Destin are the two horses who could hit at double-digit odds at Diamond sportsbook so I will take them to win and also box them in an exacta with Exaggerator.