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Super Bowl Betting Scoring Prop Picks

Super Bowl LI Betting Spreads

58 points is the highest over/under we have ever seen in a Super Bowl and accordingly there are a lot of props surrounding how high the score could climb in this one. The New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons were the 3rd and 1st highest scoring teams in the regular season with the Pats averaging 27.6 PPG and the Falcons averaging 33.8 PPG. These teams kept their offenses in high gear in the postseason and points are expected to come early and often in Super Bowl LI.

Super Bowl 51
Date and Time
: Sunday, February 5, 2017, 6:30 p.m. ET
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Super Bowl Odds at Patriots -3, O/U 58
Super Bowl 51 TV Coverage: FOX

Will either team break Super Bowl record of 45-point largest margin of victory?

Yes +1500
No -6500

Since 2002, only 6 games have been decided by 46 points or more and all of those were regular season affairs. Interestingly enough, one of those games involved these quarterbacks and the other quarterback was involved in a game that should have reached that distinction.

Back in 2009 New England gave us one of the biggest blowouts in modern history when the Patriots dominated the Tennessee Titans 59-0. In that game, Tom Brady threw 5 touchdown passes in 15 minutes of gametime and the Pats rushed out to a 45-0 halftime lead. If you were going to bet on any team to reach this mark though, New England would likely be your pick.

Just two seasons ago, Atlanta torched Tampa Bay en route to a 56-14 victory over the Buccaneers. The Falcons held a 56-0 lead at the end of the third quarter and crushed a hapless Bucs squad. That Tampa Bay team turned the ball over five times and gave Atlanta numerous short fields and the blowout wasn’t really anything Matt Ryan and the offense did. Ryan didn’t even throw for 300 yards and Atlanta’s leading rusher picked up just 54 yards on the ground.

Will either team break Super Bowl record of 55 points scored?

Yes +1150
No -4500

This is a fun prop to bet if you are hoping for a high scoring game. San Francisco set this mark back in Super Bowl XXIV when it destroyed the Denver Broncos 55-10, but as high scoring as these teams can be, neither one cracked the 50-point mark this season. Atlanta went north of 40 an impressive six times on its way to being the highest scoring team in the league by far and also set the record for most overs in a season. 15 of the Falcons 18 games this season went over the total and if this one goes over 58, Atlanta will be the first team ever to have 16 games go over the number.

The Patriots weren’t nearly as prolific as the Falcons were offensively, but Brady knows how to win a shootout. New England broke 40 points just twice all season, however, the Pats also blew a lot of teams out and didn’t need to give a full four quarters of effort. Belichick and company were an ungodly 15-3 ATS this season and would be the first team to cover 16 games in a campaign since San Francisco did it in 1989 if they can beat Atlanta by more than a field goal.

Will both teams combine to break Super Bowl record of 10 touchdowns?

Yes +700
No -1500

10 touchdowns used to be a lot, but in today’s NFL we see teams combine for that many TD’s a few times a season. In fact, Atlanta played in two games where there were a combined 10 touchdowns in consecutive weeks. Back in Week 3 and Week 4, the Falcons defeated the Saints and Panthers by double digits and in each game the teams amassed 10 touchdowns between them.

It’s certainly doable that Ryan and Brady are able to pilot these offenses to great performances in a Super Bowl shootout that would thrill millions, but the odds aren’t good enough to justify a ‘Yes’ bet here. In fact, a ‘No’ bet has positive expected value all things considered although it means you have to root against touchdowns.