New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers
Date and Time: Thursday, November 17, 2016, 8:25 p.m. ET
Location:Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Week 11 NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu: Panthers -4, 52
Saints vs. Panthers TV Coverage: NFL Network
The Saints absorbed one of the tougher defeats to stomach this season after the Broncos blocked what would have been the go ahead extra point and returned it to the house to steal the 25-23 win. Had New Orleans secured the win, it would have set them up nicely for a run at the division title with a trip to Atlanta still down the road. Unfortunately, the loss made them take a giant leap back. Going on the road to face a Carolina team it’s already beaten looks to be a major uphill climb.
As long as Drew Brees continues to remain under center, the Saints will be just fine on the offensive side of the ball. Unfortunately, the defense has to play to, and while it did a decent job limiting Denver last week, it’s still a wretched overall unit that ranks No. 29 in total defense and No. 30 in scoring defense. With the stout defenses of LA and Kansas City keeping the unit in check these last two weeks, the Saints defense will have its hands full trying to contain a Panthers attack that dropped 38 points on it in defeat.
The Panthers held a 17-3 lead into the fourth quarter of last weeks game against the Chiefs. But four field goals and a pick-six later, Carolina found itself on the wrong end of a 20-17 final score and was left only scratching its collective head as to how it occurred. Wanta know how? It’s real simple. Turnovers. Newton accounted for the terrible interception, but Kelvin Benjamin’s fumble on the Panthers 29 yard line with just 20 seconds remaining sealed the deal.
The two turnovers committed now has the Panthers ranked No. 26 in the league in differential at -6. The offense has given the ball away a whopping 17 times. New Orleans has taken the ball away 13 times and forced two Panthers turnovers in the first meeting. Though Carolina has an offense firmly adept at matching points with the Saints, it won’t stand a chance if it can’t hold onto the football.
The Saints bolted out to a commanding 21-0 lead thanks to an early Carolina turnover and a couple of stops by the defense. That lead was cut down to 14 points with just under five minutes remaining in the third quarter, but then the Panthers scored the games next 13 points to claw to within one point. N’awlens tacked on a touchdown, but the Panthers answered and converted the two point conversion to tie the game up. Brees then led the Saints on an 11 play drive that took 2:42 off the clock and ended with the game winning field goal.
When it was said and done, 929 yards of combined offense was tallied and 79 points were put on the board. The winning team has scored 41 points in three of the last four meetings, and the over has cashed in four straight.
Saints vs. Panthers Free Picks
It’s surprising to see the total currently sitting at 52 points after the betting public bet the opener down from 53.5 after these teams dented the scoreboard in the first go round. That game did however occur in the comforts of the Superdome where Brees and the offense routinely flourish. That hasn’t been the case on the road where New Orleans has averaged nearly two points fewer than their seasonal average of 29.4. Carolina’s defense has been much better since allowing 41 to the Saints back in Week 6, but it still sports that same wretched pass defense that ranks No. 24 overall.
I have to agree with the line movement on the total. The Saints are a completely different offense out of the dome against credible defenses as evidenced by Brees and company scoring just 13 and 21 points at the Giants and Chiefs respectively. Still, this should be a war and it could still be high scoring and fail to surpass the total odds at BookMaker.eu
Saints vs. Panthers ATS Pick:Under 52 at BookMaker.eu
Saints vs. Panthers Score Prediction: Panthers 27 – Saints 24