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NFL Week 1 Line Movement: Chargers vs. Broncos

NFL Spreads on Week 1

As soundly the Denver Broncos have dominated the Los Angeles Chargers, it comes away as quite surprising to see the betting public firing away relentlessly on the visitors in the teams Week 1 tilt set to go in the second leg of ESPN’s Monday Night Doubleheader. Denver had won the AFC West each of the previous five seasons before seeing the Chiefs and Raiders zip past them and into the playoffs a year ago. Expect to see a determined Broncos squad take the field, but the Chargers are an improved squad that won’t go quietly into the night.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Denver Broncos
Date and Time: Monday, September 11, 2017, 10:20 p.m. ET
Location: Sports Authority Field at Mile High Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
NFL Week 1 Opening Odds: Broncos -3.5, O/U 44
Chargers vs. Broncos TV Coverage: ESPN

These teams split their pair of meetings a year ago with Los Angeles scoring the 21-13 outright home win and cover as 3-point dogs, and the Broncos avenging that defeat by winning 27-19 as 3.5-point chalk in the second go round. The Chargers win snapped Denver’s five-game win streak in the recent rivalry. The over cashed each of the last three times these clubs collided in the Mile High City.

Denver initially opened as 5-point favorites with a game total of 44. The total hasn’t moved with only 57.1 percent of the tickets booked expecting a low scorer. The pointspread has however fallen 1.5 points due to over 65 percent of the action riding the Bolts.

Why the Chargers vs. Broncos Odds Have Changed

The Broncos entered the post Peyton Manning era resting their hopes and dreams upon the shoulders of a little known quarterback from Northwestern University that they selected with the 250th pick in the 2015 NFL Draft. Going from a surefire Hall of Famer to Siemian certainly put Denver’s offense right square behind the 8-ball before the season even started.

Fans and bettors of the team certainly thought John Elway and the rest of upper management were stinking geniuses after he combined for 756 passing yards and a 5:3 TD/INT ratio over the course of his first three games at the NFL level. Unfortunately, the rookie would only have one more big game the rest of the way and finished the season with an 18:10 TD/INT ratio and 59.5 percent completion percentage.

Siemian was anointed the QB1 once again early in the preseason, and he will be working with a knowledgeable offensive coaching staff to help him quickly dissect and understand the new playbook. It’s been devised to do a ton more damage through the air, but how quickly Siemian can adapt to it depends on just how NFL ready he truly is. Denver won eight of his 14 starts a year ago, but put forth the fourth-most three-and-out drives and ranked No. 26 scoring touchdowns in the red zone.

Joey Bosa proved to be a one-man wrecking crew in his 12 games played last season leading the defense with 10.5 sacks and putting countless amounts of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Denver gave up 40 sacks a short season ago, and though Elway went out and beefed the front wall up in the offseason, keeping both Bosa and Melvin Ingram off their quarterback will be a major chore in and of itself. Their new quick-strike passing attack should relieve some of the pressure, but this matchup will be one to watch when live betting this contest at one of the top 10 online sportsbooks in the world.

Los Angeles has been installed a 3.5-point road underdog four times dating back to 2015. They lost all four of those games by an average of 4.8 points per game, but managed to split against the spread. The current -115 juice on LA insinuates that this line isn’t finished coming down. Some shops have already dropped the Broncos down to 3-point favorites. It’s likely follows suit as the game gets closer to kickoff. Just don’t expect to be paying -110 juice on the home team if that turns out to be the case.