NFL Betting Odds:
New England Patriots: -7
Opening NFL Odds from Bookmaker
The Indianapolis Colts came back from a 38-10 deficit early in the third quarter to beat the NFL odds and topple the Kansas City Chiefs, 45-44 this past weekend. As a reward, they get to battle the New England Patriots in the divisional round.
The Colts will try to use the second half explosion as momentum going into this coming weekend, but Tom Brady and the well-rested New England Patriots are coming off a bye week and have the ability to bring that momentum to a screeching halt.
On the season, the Patriots rank third in points scored with 27.8 per game, outscoring their opponents by 6.7 points a game.
The offense, as always, is led by quarterback Tom Brady who has 4,343 yards and 25 touchdowns to go along with a play-off resume that would make John Elway and Roger Staubach jealous.
Brady has gotten a good deal of support in the running game this season with Stevan Ridley and LeGarrette Blount sharing the load and combining for 1,545 yards and 14 touchdowns.
The Patriots’ receiving corps is a bit less impressive; however, as wide receiver Julian Edelman leads the way with 1,056 yards and six touchdown receptions. While Edelman has stepped up, many of Brady’s favorite targets of recent years are no longer options whether due to them leaving as a free agent ( Wes Welker ), having legal issues ( Aaron Hernandez ) or injuries ( Rob Gronkowski ). Nevertheless, Brady is one of the best at beating the NFL odds and producing, regardless of the receivers at his disposal.
On the other side of the field, the Colts have been solid on offense and defense on the season, holding opponents to just 21 points, while scoring 24.4 points per game of their own.
The team is centered on second year quarterback Andrew Luck who is has 3,822 yards and 23 touchdowns on the season while throwing only nine interceptions.
Luck’s favorite target to date has been receiver T.Y. Hilton who has taken over as the number one wide out after Reggie Wayne went down to injury. Hilton is averaging 13.2 yards per catch and has 1,083 yards on the season.
Additionally, despite injuries that have placed three running backs on the injured reserve, the Colts have enough ability to move the ball on the ground to give offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton some options.
After the late game surge by the Colts last week, there is no question about the Colts ability to score, it is just a matter if they can score enough to beat the football betting odds and keep up with the Patriots.
Free Play – Overall, this one may still go to the Patriots, but I am not willing to give a touchdown in their favor. On the season, the Patriots are only 8-8 against the spread overall and a mere 3-4 in their last seven battles against the pro football odds. Meanwhile, the Colts are coming off an emotional win and are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games against the AFC and their last four overall. The Patriots defense is a bit of a concern as well. Although ranking 10th in points allowed, they have surrendered a sixth worst 373.1 total yards per game. While I expect the Patriots to put points on the board, I see no reason the Colts cannot be right behind them, particularly after their offensive outburst in the second half in the wildcard round.
Take the Points and the Colts in Foxboro