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Colts vs. Titans ATS Picks

NFL Week 7 Odds

The Indianapolis Colts have flat out owned the division rival Tennessee Titans for quite some time having won each of the last nine overall meetings and covering the closing number in eight of those games. Week 7 presents the Titz with their best shot of finally solving the riddle that has been Andrew Luck and the Colts with Mike Mularkey’s troops installed short home chalk and looking to keep the pressure on Houston by winning their third straight.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans
Date and Time: Sunday, October 23, 2016, 1 p.m. ET
Location: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Week 7 NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu: Titans -3, 48.5
Colts vs. Titans TV Coverage: CBS

Last season was one marred by injury for Andrew Luck. As bad as his offensive line was, it came as no surprise. Unfortunately, not much has changed for the Colts field general in 2016 with him getting dropped to the turf a league-worst 3.8 times per game. He was just sacked three more times in last Sunday night’s overtime loss to the Texans, and now has to deal with a Tennessee defense averaging 3.0 sacks per game.

How gross was that loss to Houston? Indy held a 23-9 lead after Adam Vinatieri booted his third field goal of the game with just over seven minutes remaining. After doing nothing for most of the game, Brock Osweiler went HAM and led the Texans to 14 unanswered points to send the game into overtime where they then went on to lose 26-23. The Colts rank No. 30 in total defense, No. 28 in scoring defense, and No. 23 in yards per point average. That’s simply been too much for Luck and the undermanned offense to mask.

The Titans coaching staff said they would run the ball down their opponent’s throat at the outset of the season. Thus far, they weren’t kidding with only Dallas, San Francisco and New England averaging more rushing attempts per game (29.8). In averaging 146.7 rushing yards per game, Tennessee is the proud owner of the league’s No. 3 ranked attack.

After an awful season in Philadelphia a year ago, DeMarco Murray has fit in nicely behind a stellar offensive line opening holes big enough for him to average 4.6 yards per carry. He’s also added another 172 yards and two touchdowns on 22 receptions out of the backfield. The Colts rank No. 25 versus the run, so another big day looks to be in store for the Titz bell cow.

Revenge Angle

It’s almost been five years since the Titans tasted the thrill of victory against their division rivals. Five years! That no doubt will be something the coaching staff will make a point of reminding their players about all week. Both meetings last season were close with Tennessee falling 30-24 in a meaningless Week 17 game at Indy, but the Week 3 loss at home is still likely one that stings to this very day.

After exploding for 17 unanswered points in the third quarter to snag a 27-14 lead, the Titans were outscored 21-6 the rest of the way to allow Andrew Luck to continue owning them. Marcus Mariota outperformed him and Tennessee outgained the Colts, but Indy once again came out on top.

Colts vs. Titans Free Picks

Revenge is a dish best served cold, and the Titans have five years of pent up aggression ready to explode upon a Colts side that will no doubt enter this tilt confident knowing full well it’s had its division rival’s number. The season is quickly getting away from the Colts, and I don’t foresee it getting any better for this flawed team in the coming weeks.

It’s way too reliant upon Luck to make it work offensively, and the defense is a sieve. The team has proven it can’t hold onto leads, and doesn’t have the defense capable of stopping any area of an opposing offense’s attack. I like the improvement I’ve seen from the Titans this season. While they let their backers down in a big way last week coughing up a cover against the odds at Bookmaker.eu versus Cleveland, I foresee them paying it back in spades this week with a decisive win and cover to finally snap their losing streak to the Colts.

Colts vs. Titans ATS Pick: Titans -3 at BookMaker.eu

Colts vs. Titans Score Prediction: Titans 28 – Colts 14