Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos
Date and Time: Sunday, September 18, 2016, 4:25 p.m. ET
Location: Sports Authority Field, Denver, CO
Week 2 NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu: Broncos -6, O/U 45
Colts vs. Broncos TV Coverage: CBS
The injury issues that plagued Indianapolis throughout the preseason bit them in the backside in Sunday’s loss to the Lions. The Colts entered the game without two of their top three cornerbacks and starting safety Clayton Geathers was sidelined leaving the secondary in shambles. The deluge of injuries continued when T.J. Green and Patrick Robinson both left Sunday’s game. Matthew Stafford took advantage by throwing for 340 yards and three touchdowns.
Luck and the offense was on cue and the Colts took a lead late on a touchdown pass. But the defense couldn’t prevent the Lions from marching into field goal range in the final half minute for the eventual game-winning kick. The way things have started Luck will have to put up 40 points a game if the Colts are to think about winning. Right now the defense just can’t be trusted.
Gary Kubiak’s decision to start Siemian looked like a wise one after the Broncos beat Carolina in the season opener. Of course a missed Panthers field goal at the end of regulation helped out. But Siemian, making his first start and playing in what amounted to his first game, looked poised against a strong Carolina defense. The numbers weren’t eye-popping but he was able to overcome a pair of interceptions, directed two fourth-quarter touchdown drives and allowed the defense to do its part. That’s how the Broncos will be successful in 2016.
Matchup To Watch
You can blame the Colts’ inability to stop Stafford and the Lions on the numerous injuries suffered by defensive players, but the bottom line is that they had a hard time tackling anyone on Sunday. Stafford was on fire but he had a lot of help from Indy. The Colts allowed 332 yards through the air and another 116 on the ground, but a large amount of yardage came after the catch. According to ESPN Stats, Stafford threw 26 passes up to five yards and his mates tacked on another 213 after the catch.
Siemian isn’t going to take too many shots down the field. The coaching staff doesn’t completely trust him just yet. He also had two picks in the opener which is another deterrent. But if the Colts aren’t able to stop receivers on first contact, Denver won’t need to go deep. Expect the Broncos to use quick hitters to their group of flashy receivers and let them do the rest. C.J. Anderson is also a threat out of the backfield. Denver won’t be putting up ridiculous offensive numbers like it did a few seasons ago under Peyton Manning, but if the Colts can’t make the tackles, points are out there to be had. Converting an extra possession into points will send this one over the scoreline.
Colts vs. Broncos Free Picks
Denver’s offense can’t be trusted to put a lot of points on the board so opening at -6 looks favorable to the visitors. Indy’s offense looked in mid-season form last Sunday and Luck has had his share of good luck against the Broncos. He’s faced Denver four times in his career going 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in those games. The Colts haven’t scored fewer than 24 points in any of the four games.
Both defenses will be feeling the pressure in this one and the over could be had at a manageable 45 to open. Luck will keep the Colts close but in the end the defense will give up a few big plays to the Broncos costing them a shot at a victory. Indy has too many question marks on the defensive side of the ball right now and the reinforcements aren’t quite ready. The Colts will cover the spread on the odds at BookMaker.eu but will lose the game.
Colts vs. Broncos Week 2 ATS Pick: Colts +6 at BookMaker.eu
Colts vs. Broncos Score Prediction: Broncos 27, Colts 24