Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders
Date and Time: Sunday, October 16, 2016, 4:05 p.m. ET
Location: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, CA
Week 6 NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu: Raiders -1.5, 47
Chiefs vs. Raiders TV Coverage: CBS
The Chiefs Week 4 tilt in the Steel City was supposed to be a preview of a potential playoff matchup with the Steelers. Instead, it turned into a massacre and one that would have likely best been served with a running clock. I’m sure second half under bettors of that game would agree with that statement. A year removed from winning 11 games and capturing one of the AFC’s two wild card slots, Andy Reid’s squad has looked listless through the first four weeks of the season.
The main reason for that has been the offenses inability to get the ground game going, and the defenses inability to stop the run and failure to get pressure on opposing quarterbacks. This could be the week Jamaal Charles returns to the backfield, so the ground attack could get a boost. However, Oakland has allowed the fewest amount of sacks in the league, and if Derek Carr is able to take his time in the pocket, he’s going to pick this defense apart even though it’s been better at defending the pass.
That 35-28 loss suffered to the Atlanta Falcons back in Week 2 hardly looks as bad as it did after the game concluded. Since then, Jack Del Rio’s squad has gone on to pull out hard fought road wins against the Tennessee Titans and Baltimore Ravens. Though it likely should have seen its win streak come to an end this past Sunday, the opponent just so happened to be a San Diego squad that’s gifted wins to most opposition all season.
The Raiders have combatted a surprisingly porous defense with one of the best offenses the league has to offer. Carr ranks No. 7 in QB rating, and his 11 touchdown passes are tied for the third most in the league. The offense ranks top-10 in both rushing and passing the football, and its 28.4 point per game average checks in at No. 5. As bad as the defense has been from a yardage perspective, it still ranks No. 11 in defensive yard per point average (17.4), so all the yards given up haven’t correlated to a ton of points being put on the board.
Going into the game against Pittsburgh, Kansas City had forced at least two turnovers in two straight games. It failed to do that against the Steelers, and because of it, felt the wrath of the black and gold’s offense.
With the Raiders turning the pigskin over just 0.5 times per game, gaining extra possessions is something Kansas City won’t be able to rely upon in this matchup. The Chiefs were lucky to beat the Chargers in Week 1 in a game they didn’t force any turnovers in, so it will be interesting to see if they have what it takes to win a game like this if they don’t in fact win the turnover battle.
Chiefs vs. Raiders Free Picks
KC swept the season rivalry from Oakland last season winning 34-20 as 3 point underdogs on the road and following it up with a 23-17 win and non-cover at home in the second go round. The Raiders have managed just one win the last six times they ran up against the Chiefs with four of those games combining to surpass the closing odds at BookMaker.eu.
The betting line has me a bit perplexed. Going just by the overall bodies of work each of these teams has put forth to date, I simply don’t buy Kansas City as the favored side on a neutral field. Taking the recent history into account must be keeping this number on the low side. I believe Oakland finds a way to end its losing streak to the Chiefs, but it won’t be easy. Instead, I’ll look to play the under with these division rivals firmly aware of what the other will do and the number inflated due to recent results.
Chiefs vs. Raiders ATS Pick: Under 47 at BookMaker.eu
Chiefs vs. Raiders Score Prediction: Raiders 23 – Chiefs 20