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Chiefs vs. Broncos ATS Picks

NFL Week 12 ATS Picks

The Kansas City Chiefs visit the Denver Broncos on Sunday night in a battle for second place in the AFC West. Both teams come into this Week 12 matchup at 7-3 and one game behind the Raiders in the division. The Chiefs are coming off an ugly loss last week as they were beaten at home by Tampa Bay while the Broncos had a bye. This is the first of two meetings between the teams in the last six weeks of the regular season.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
Date and Time: Sunday, November 27, 2016, 8:30 p.m. ET
Location: Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Week 12 NFL Odds at BetDSI: Broncos -3, O/U 39.5
Chiefs vs. Broncos TV Coverage: NBC

The Chiefs had their five-game winning streak snapped last week as they lost at home to Tampa Bay. The Chiefs have struggled to score points for much of the season as their 222 total points scored is the fewest of any team in the AFC West. Quarterback Alex Smith doesn’t make many mistakes but he made a big one last week as he threw an interception in the red zone that probably cost Kansas City the game against the Bucs.

Kansas City is just 19th in the NFL in points per game and they are 25th in total offensive plays. The Chiefs have relied on their defense to win games as Kansas City is allowing just 18.7 points per game.

The Broncos have similar overall numbers to Kansas City as Denver is scoring about 24 points per game which is 14th in the league while they are 9th in defense, giving up about 19 points per contest. The Broncos have won 7 of their 10 games this season and Denver has been a good bet against the number going 7-3 ATS.

Key Stat

Denver has done well in this series of late going 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. The Chiefs have been a good road team going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games but Denver is good at home going 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Broncos are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. the AFC.

Looking at the total, the Under is 6-0 in the Chiefs last 6 games overall. The Under is 5-1 in the Chiefs last 6 vs. the AFC. The Under is 5-2 in the Broncos last 7 games overall. The Under is 11-5-1 in the Broncos last 17 home games.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Free Picks

How are the Chiefs going to move the ball against the Denver defense? The Chiefs simply don’t have much offensive talent and this should be a dominating performance from the Denver defense. I will lay the points and take Denver and also play the game under the total.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Week 12 ATS Pick: Broncos -3 at BetDSI

Chiefs vs. Broncos Score Prediction: Broncos 20, Chiefs 10