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Chiefs vs. Bears Preseason Week 3 Betting Picks

NFL Preseason Picks

The betting public is expecting some points to hit the scoreboard Saturday afternoon when the Chicago Bears make their preseason betting home debut against the Kansas City Chiefs. Maybe it has to do with Andy Reid’s woeful preseason track record, or the fact that this will be Matt Nagy’s debut in Soldier Field as the team’s new head coach. Either way, Chicago has been bumped up to a 2 point favorite with the move supported by 60 percent of the wagers taken. The total is up to 48 from the 45 opener.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Chicago Bears
Date and Time:
Saturday, August 25, 2018, 1 p.m. ET
Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Opening NFL Odds: Bears -1.5, 45
Chiefs vs. Bears TV Coverage: NFL Network

We were all in on the Chiefs last week catching some points in Hotlanta. Though it took the starting offense nearly a half to score a touchdown, Kansas City found a way to get the job done. A tip of the cap goes out to the backups and guys that likely won’t make the 52-man roster for seeing it all the way through. After the defense stunk the joint out in the second half the previous week, we wouldn’t have cashed the ticket if not for holding the Falcons scoreless over the game’s final 30 minutes.

That lone touchdown was pretty exciting for Patrick Mahomes. It ended up being the first of his 2018 campaign regardless of whether it truly counts or not, and it was of the 69 yard variety. To Tyreke Hill no less who is going to get paid a handsome sum of money in a year or so once his rookie contract expires. KC fans and bettors should get used to that combo for years to come!

After dropping tough competitive matchups against the NFL odds versus the Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals the first two weeks of the exhibition season, the Bears finally hit the win column in Denver last weekend. Bears fans got to see a little more of Nagy’s fast paced quick strike attack, and for all intents and purposes, sophomore quarterback Mitchell Trubisky looked confident running it.

His night ended with a 9 of 14 showing for 90 yards and a 1:1 TD/INT ratio. The lone strike went to offseason free agent acquisition Trey Burton who was targeted five times and reeled four of them in. Also making a solid impression was rookie wide receiver Anthony Miller who turned his three receptions on four targets into 33 yards. Those two figure to be huge benefactors of Chicago’s much improved offense this season.

Trends of Note

Last week’s outright win and cover moved Andy Reid to 36-42 and 35-42-1 against the spread as a head coach in the exhibition season. The win moved Kansas City to 5-5 SU and ATS its last 10 preseason road games. Chicago will be looking to put an end to a four game home losing streak in the preseason that saw them fail to cover each and every game. The Bears stand 2-1 against the spread to date, but have only covered four of the last 10 times they went off the board favored to win at home in the preseason. The last time they were favored at home when the games didn’t count, they dropped an ugly 25-0 decision to the Cleveland Browns in Week 4 last year.

NFL Football Betting Odds

Chiefs vs. Bears Free Picks

Chicago has proven through its first three games that it isn’t going to quit. They’ve played to win outscoring the Ravens 9-7, the Bengals 13-7 and Broncos 14-3 in the second half. That bodes tremendously well for Nagy to log that first win in this spot. The Chiefs have absolutely nothing to gain from winning this contest on the NFL betting lines. Once the starters take to the sidelines, I fully expect Chicago to take over the game and set the tone for a city that’s clamored for its beloved Bears to get back to respectability.

On top of that, I really like the way OC Mark Helfrich has utilized his quarterback rotation. Tyler Bray looks to have the leg up over Chase Daniel for the backup gig, but this will be their toughest assignment yet. KC enters with high marks defending the pass, but it’s done so against a shoddy cast of characters. The unit can be taken advantage of evidenced by the 165 yards and 2 touchdowns Matt Ryan and Matt Schaub combined for last week. With both backups hungry, I expect them to lead the charge and salt the game away in the late stages.

NFL ATS Pick: Bears - at
NFL Score Prediction:
Bears 30 – Chiefs 20