San Diego Chargers vs. Houston Texans
Date and Time: Sunday, November 27, 2016, 1 p.m. ET
Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Week 12 NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu: Texans -1, 47
Chargers vs. Texans TV Coverage: CBS
The Chargers are nowhere near as bad as their 4-6 SU record indicates evidenced by their 6-4 ATS mark and only being a 1 point underdog in this road tilt with the AFC South leading Texans. Early season gaffes against the Chiefs, Colts, Saints and Raiders have come back to bite this team right square in the behind, but that likely won’t stop Philip Rivers and company from going out and competing the rest of the way.
If not for allowing Indianapolis to score on a 63-yard strike with just over a minute remaining in the game, San Diego would invade Houston with an impressive 4-1 ATS tally as a visitor. Though they’ve managed just one road win to date, an overtime 33-30 triumph at Atlanta, the Chargers have been in every single one of their road games losing by an average of just 5.3 points per game.
I’m still scratching my head trying to figure out what drug Bill O’Brien was on at the tail end of last Monday night’s loss to the Raiders. How he elected to punt the ball with over three minutes remaining on a 4th and short is beyond me. That’s the type of call that gets you fired in this league. Once the Texans did it, I knew Houston wasn’t getting the ball back. Granted, it took Jack Del Rio flashing his onions to get it done by going for it on 4th and 1 with over a minute left, but the result was all the same. O’Brien’s lack of a gambling gene cost his team any shot of winning the game.
The Texans hold a one game lead over both the Texans and Colts for the top spot in the AFC South. They still have road games with each making this game even more important to hold onto their slim advantage. Houston has won each of its five home games, but has only done so by an average of 6.6 points per game. They’ve hardly dominated and that doesn’t bode well for a supposed division leader.
Matchup to Watch
The Texans did a fantastic job of limiting the Raiders on the ground last week. While they played well above their season norm of allowing over 111 rushing yards per game, both Latavius Murray, Jalen Richard and Jamize Olawale destroyed Houston’s defense catching pigskins out of the backfield. Both Richard and Olawale scored touchdowns with the latter’s 75 yard catch and run knotting the game up at 20 apiece at the start of the fourth quarter.
San Diego just so happens to have one of the premiere pass catching running backs in the NFL in the form of Melvin Gordon whose in the midst of a breakout sophomore campaign. He’s rushed for 838 yards and reeled in another 33 passes for 236 yards and two touchdowns. If the Texans are to win this game, stopping Gordon should be No. 1 on their priority list.
Chargers vs. Texans Free Picks
This is one of the tougher games to pick on the odds at BookMaker.eu with the Chargers looking to play spoiler and the Texans undefeated at home. It’s a coin flip at best. Where the value just might lie is on the total with these teams playing to high scorers in three of their last four meetings. San Diego has gone for 27 or more points in three of its five road games, with the over cashing in four of those contests. This is the second highest posted point total for a Texans home game this season. The highest against the Colts found its way over in overtime. I don’t think an extra session will be needed to cash over tickets in this one.
Chargers vs. Texans ATS Pick: Over 47 at BookMaker.eu
Chargers vs. Texans Score Prediction: Texans 28 – Chargers 27