Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Date and Time: Monday, October 30, 2017, 8:30 p.m. ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium
Week 8 Opening NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu: Chiefs -7, O/U 44.5
Broncos vs. Chiefs TV Coverage: ESPN
Through the first two weeks of the season, the Broncos looked to be in great shape with the offense giving the defense ample support. Trevor Siemian looked like the second coming of John Elway, and the running game looked to be in good shape with C.J. Anderson toting the rock out of the backfield. What a difference a month makes!
Since then, the offense has combined to score 42 points through four games and just laid a goose egg in Los Angeles this past weekend. Due to the offense’s inability to possess the pigskin and put points on the board, the defense has suffered. Three of the team’s last four opponents have all put at least 21 points on the board. Kansas City has flipped the script this year with the offense doing its thing while the defense struggles. If Denver’s offense continues to struggle in this spot, it might be time to make a change.
The Chiefs were the toast of the league through the first five weeks with Andy Reid’s putting forth unblemished 5-0 straight up and against the spread records. But since it won that shoot out against the Texans in Houston on Sunday Night Football, the team has traveled over a couple landmines and failed to live to tell about it. Pittsburgh handed KC its first loss of the season, and then it allowed for the Raiders to save their season after falling in the game’s closing moments last Thursday night.
It’s been a surreal offensive resurgence in Kansas City with Alex Smith, Kareem Hunt, Travis Kelce and Tyreke Hill all having banner seasons. Unfortunately, the offense has needed to put as many points on the board as possible with the defense struggling mightily. The Chiefs are conceding 23.0 points per game ( No. 20 ) and just under 400 yards of combined yardage. Most troubling is a rush defense that’s allowed the opposition to rip of runs for an average of 4.7 yards per carry ( No. 28 ). Only New England, New Orleans, Los Angeles ( Chargers ) and Jacksonville has been worse.
Player to Watch
Trevor Siemian – He’s struggled mightily over the last three weeks. You can throw his output versus the Giants out the window with a bulk of the 376 passing yards accrued once the game was already well in hand for New York. In the other two games, he combined for 386 passing yards and a 1:1 TD/INT ratio. Kansas City is allowing just under two passing touchdowns per game ( No. 27 ), and allowing the opposition to average 7.5 yards per pass attempt ( No. 27 ). If the Broncos are to be able to match points with the Chiefs, Siemian is going to have to get the passing game in high gear and take advantage of the fantastic situation lied before him to improve upon his less than impressive overall stats.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Picks
Kansas City swept the season rivalry from the Broncos a year ago to move to 3-0 straight up and against the spread at the top NFL sportsbooks in the last three overall meetings. The loss in Arrowhead snapped Denver’s five-game win streak in the venue dating back to 2011. They enter this spot the wounded dog, and that’s the last thing a floundering Chiefs outfit wants to deal with in looking to snap a two-game losing streak of their own. The betting public isn’t buying it however. A lofty 77 percent of the early week betting handle has backed the home team bumping the spread up to -7.5. A surprising move when you take into account the total down a point from the 44.5-point opener. As bad as Denver has looked since returning from its bye, it will be sky high for its first run-in with Kansas City. While they still need to execute for it to be worth a damn, I can’t help but think a bit much is being asked of the Chiefs in this spot.
Broncos vs. Chiefs Week 8 ATS Pick: Broncos +7.5 at BookMaker.eu
Broncos vs. Chiefs Score Prediction: Chiefs 21 – Broncos 20