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Bengals vs. Giants ATS Picks

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NFL Week 10 NFL Betting Lines

It must be nice to lose two of your last four games and play to a tie and still only be one game out of the division lead. That’s where the Cincinnati Bengals find themselves coming off their bye playing the New York Giants on Monday Night Football. If you follow the Bengals at all, you know how bad the team has been in prime-time games. Will this Week 10 tilt in Gotham be any different?

Cincinnati Bengals vs. New York Giants
Date and Time: Monday, November 14, 2016, 8:30 p.m. ET
Location: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Week 10 NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu: Giants -1, 47
Bengals vs. Giants TV Coverage: ESPN

It’s been a rough go of it for Marvin Lewis’s Bengals over the last month. It was forced to take on the AFC-best Patriots and NFC-best Cowboys in back-to-back weeks and then had to fly to London to battle the Redskins a week removed from securing its first win since Week 4 over the Browns. Cincy had the Skins beat, but the defense couldn’t stop the game tying drive late in the fourth quarter.

Because it also failed to score or give up any points in the extra session, Cincy had to settle for the tie. As bad as the division has been, it’s better than a loss. Still, why can’t this team put points on the board? It’s had no problem racing up and down the field with it ranked No. 6 in total offense, but scoring points has been a different story with it averaging just short of 21 points per game (No. 21) and owning the league’s No. 30 ranked offensive yards per point average.

The Giants have been a tough team to get a handle on. They opened the year with successive wins against the Cowboys and Saints, but then dropped three straight to Washington, Minnesota and Green Bay. Since that loss on Sunday Night Football to the Cheeseheads, Ben McAdoo’s troops have won three straight capped off with a huge 28-23 home win and cover against the division rival Eagles last week.

Surprisingly, the GMEN have been led by their retooled defense with the unit conceding just 20.5 points per game (No. 10) and being extremely tough to run on in allowing just under 94 yards per game (No. 9). It’s had a bit of a hard time containing opposing passing attacks, but much of that stems from injury and the secondary is much healthier now after coming off a bye last week.

Key Stat

1-7 – As good as the Bengals have been the last three seasons, it’s hard to believe they’ve managed just one win in their last eight tries on either Thursday, Sunday or Monday Night Football. There’s something about playing under the lights that just brings out the worst in this team. That said, they did secure their first prime-time win of the Andy Dalton era back in Week 4 when they dominated Miami en route to the 22-7 win and cover.

Bengals vs. Giants Free Picks

Even though the betting action on the odds at BookMaker.eu is slightly in favor of the Bengals 51.6 percent to 48.4 percent, the betting line in this game has fallen from -2.5 at the open to -1 in favor of the Giants. With such a small spread in percentages, it tells me some big money believes Cincinnati wins this game. That’s crazy to think about when you take into account just how bad the Bengals have been under the lights.

That said, the Giants have been no great shakes on MNF having gone just 1-4 ATS in their last five appearances. Cincy possesses the more balanced of the two offenses with a ground game boasting two capable backs in Jeremy Hill and Giovani Bernard as well as one of the best wide receivers in the game in A.J. Green. Add the resurgent Tyler Eifert to the mix, and there’s not a doubt in my mind Cincy owns the better of the two offenses. Look for lightning to strike twice and for the Bengals to win their second prime-time game of the year in a high scorer.

Bengals vs. Giants ATS Pick: Bengals +1 at BookMaker.eu
Bengals vs. Giants Score Prediction: Bengals 27 Giants 26

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