Chicago Bears vs. Green Bay Packers
Date and Time: Thursday, October 20, 2016, 8:25 p.m. ET
Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Week 7 NFL Odds at BookMaker.eu: Packers -9, 47
Bears vs. Packers TV Coverage: CBS
With the Bears losing another game they likely should have won last Sunday against Jacksonville, interest in this team is at a season-low. If they don’t show up for this game, it’s likely most TV sets in the city limits will be tuned into the Cubs game instead. Regardless, that won’t stop the Bears from looking to improve like they have in back-to-back tough defeats.
Fox has got the defense playing some really good ball right now. Though Andrew Luck picked the defense apart for 322 yards and a couple touchdowns, it took Blake Bortles three quarters to figure it out. He fluke 51-yard touchdown pass with over two minutes remaining improved an ugly stat line big time! Chicago’s conceding just 233.5 passing yards per game (No. 10), and only 1.2 passing touchdowns per game. With Green Bay unable to get its ground attack going, a struggling Aaron Rodgers might not be able to do as he pleases against this unit like he’s done so many times in the past.
In taking in the Packers game this past Sunday against Dallas, I heard something I hadn’t heard at Lambeau Field since before Brett Favre arrived. The sound I’m referring to are boo birds letting their team know just how displeased they were with the overall effort.
Seriously though, who is calling the plays? The team is passing when they should be running, and running when they should be passing. Rodgers’ accuracy is way off right now. He’s throwing behind wide open receivers. He’s overthrowing them. Something is way off and it stems from him. For the life of me I couldn’t believe they passed the ball on the one-yard line with the game still competitive. Rodgers ended up fumbling the ball away. One of three Packers’ fumbles lost overall. They keep playing like this, and Minnesota is going to run away and hide from the rest of the division.
Green Bay is averaging 0.4 rushing touchdowns per game. That’s just unacceptable with a trimmed down Eddie Lacy in the backfield running with purpose the rare instances he gets his number called. Chicago has been much better defending the pass (No. 10) than the run (No. 18), and has given up an average of 1.0 rushing touchdowns per game. On the flipside, they’re allowing just 1.2 passing touchdowns per game (No. 12).
Make it a point to see how the Packers employ Lacy in this matchup. If for some reason McCarthy keeps going to his passing attack, live bet the Bears. Green Bay will not cover the betting line if it routinely goes to the air against this Chicago defense that’s gaining confidence with every passing week.
Bears vs. Packers Free Picks
If ever there was a buy low sell high spot with the Packers, this is it. Green Bay has won and covered the odds at BookMaker.eu in four of the last five overall meetings. Rodgers is notorious for rubbing his division rival’s faces in his success. However, Mr. Discount Double Check isn’t running well right now, and the Packers as a team look a bit lost. Injuries have also taken a major toll. This team is ripe to be picked, and the Bears would no doubt love to add to their misery.
That said, it’s possible Jay Cutler is back under center for this game. I believe that would be the straw that breaks the camel’s back. While Chicago is just 1-3 SU and ATS with Brian Hoyer leading the charge, I don’t think the roster wants anything to do with Cutler anymore. So, if Hoyer is still the QB1, back the Bears. If not, hit the Packers. Cutler is a poison pill that needs to be spit out and flushed forever.
Bears vs. Packers ATS Pick: Bears +9 at BookMaker.eu
Bears vs. Packers Score Prediction: Packers 21 – Bears 20