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Toledo vs. Ohio ATS Picks

NCAAF Week 11 Predictions

The Toledo Rockets are two wins away from wrapping up the MAC West title and a spot in the MAC Championship Game in Detroit. The Ohio Bobcats are two wins away from winning the MAC East.

In what very well should be a preview of the league's title game in December, the Rockets and Bobcats will square off in what should be a great Wednesday night showdown in Athens.

Toledo Rockets vs. Ohio Bobcats
Date and Time
: Wednesday, November 8, 2017, 7 p.m. ET
Location: Fred Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH
Opening College Football Odds: Toledo -6.5
Toledo vs. Ohio TV Coverage: ESPN2

Unless the Rockets fall off the face of the earth over the course of the next few weeks, they're going to not only be playing in the MAC Championship Game, but they'll be the comfortable favorites to win it as well. They've got the best quarterback in the conference in Logan Woodside, and arguably the best running back (Terry Swanson) and wide receiver (Dionate Johnson) as well. That combination is a tough one to try to beat in the MAC, and that's why Toledo ranks in the top-10 in the land in total offense and in the top-20 in scoring offense.

The Rockets are 8-1 this year and could still be fringy contenders for the Group of Five spot in the New Year's Six. It's only a matter of time until they start to get some recognition for the Top 25 if they keep rolling like this, especially since their only loss came against a Miami team that has spent a good chunk of the season ranked in or near the top-10.

Ohio certainly isn't going to go quietly, though. The Bobcats could be staring two straight losses in the face here against Toledo and Akron, though if both games are won, they'll be off to the MAC Championship Game.

Ohio has scored at least 45 points in three games in a row, a true testament to what Nathan Rourke has been able to do. Rourke has accounted for a total of 29 touchdowns this season with just three interceptions, including 13 scores in his last three games.

Key Stat

10.1 – The number of yards per pass attempt by Woodside this season.

It's remarkable to think that the Rockets are averaging a first down every time they throw the football. This offense, though, is as aerial as it gets in the MAC.

The aforementioned Johnson is averaging 18.7 yards per catch and has 859 yards and eight scores on the season. Even with speedster, Cody Thompson out for the rest of the season injured, Jon'Vea Johnson, Danzel McKinley-Lewis and Jordan Fisher are all averaging at least 14 yards per catch.

Toss in the fact that Toledo has a three-headed monster at running back with Swanson, Shakif Seymour and Art Thompkins, and you've got the makings of a terrifying offense. These three are combining to average nearly six yards per carry and have over 1,700 rushing yards and 18 scores on the ground on the campaign.

Toledo vs. Ohio Free Picks

We'd be shocked if this wasn't the first of two meetings between these two teams in the next four weeks. The Rockets are easily the best team in this conference, but we can't help but wonder if the Bobcats are going to stick a wrench in their perfect conference season.

For as good as Toledo is, it hasn't been challenged on the road yet this season by anyone aside from Miami (and that really shouldn't count). Athens isn't a fun place to play either. The Bobcats are 4-1 SU and ATS at home this season, and the way they're playing offense right now shouldn't be forgotten.

If Rourke can once again threaten to put 40+ points on the board, it's going to be really hard for Woodside and the Rockets to keep up. The story might be different when these two meet again in Detroit, but for now, give us the Bobcats to hold serve at home.

College Football ATS Pick: Ohio +6.5 at
College Football Score Prediction: Ohio 41, Toledo 28