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TCU vs. Oklahoma ATS Picks

NCAAF Week 14 Odds

Are the TCU Horned Frogs really out of the National Championship race yet? They'll feel like they're still in it even if they have some of the longest shots on the board to actually win the Natty at this point. A win over the Oklahoma Sooners in the Big XII Championship Game, and TCU is going to force its way into a very interesting discussion for the CFP Selection Committee.

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Date and Time
: Saturday, December 2, 2017, 12:30 p.m. ET
Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX
Opening College Football Odds: Oklahoma -7
TCU vs. Oklahoma TV Coverage: FOX

Is Oklahoma still going to get into the College Football Playoff even if it loses to TCU? It's entirely possible. The Sooners would have a win over the Big XII champ to their credit and that win at an Ohio State team that is going to be favored to win the Big Ten title. That has to count for something.

Still, Lincoln Riley is going to want to leave nothing to chance in his first season as the head coach in Norman. His Sooners did lose a dud of a game to Iowa State and screwed around against so many inferior teams this season, but in the end, it's a team that still has a chance to become the third team in FBS history to average over 600 yards per game. The numbers are getting more and more impressive with each passing week, and as the Sooners showed last week in their 59-31 win over West Virginia, it doesn't even necessarily matter if Baker Mayfield is in the lineup or not.

TCU found out the hard way that you have to smack Oklahoma in the mouth if you want a chance to beat it. The Horned Frogs allowed 38 points in the first half when these two teams met in Norman just a few weeks ago, and they weren't nearly good enough to be able to rally from there.

TCU has since rallied to a win over Texas Tech with Kenny Hill out of the fold and a victory over Baylor with Hill back in the lineup. A win in this game would provide the Horned Frogs with a win in Stillwater and one in the Big XII Championship Game, a resume that would have to be seriously considered.

Key Factor

The raw numbers for the Sooners in their games are out of this world, but they've had a tendency of falling apart just a bit in the second halves of games. They did so against Iowa State when they coughed up a 24-10 second quarter lead, and they tried to do so against TCU when they were outscored 6-0 in the second half.

The game against Oklahoma State? 38 points in the first half. Literally just one sustained drive in the entire second half.

The Horned Frogs have had a history of being great against the big play, and if they can keep Rodney Anderson from wrecking this game like he did in the first meeting, they could end up being live.

TCU vs. Oklahoma Free Picks

We know that there's an expectation here that Oklahoma is going to win this game going away and ride into the CFP unchallenged. That said, we were high on TCU in the first meeting, and we're going to be high on them here in Arlington once again.

The Horned Frogs have a legitimate defense, and they did a better job against Mayfield and this offense in the second half in Norman than any other team has done this year. If they can bring that defense to the forefront and get a little more in crucial spots from the inconsistent Hill, they're going to have a shot in this game.

We're going to call for the outright upset to really put the Selection Committee in the hot seat, but these points provided by all of the best college football sportsbooks won't hurt to have either.

College Football ATS Pick: TCU +7 at
College Football Score Prediction: TCU 34, Oklahoma 24