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Peach Bowl Betting Analysis - Alabama vs. Washington

NCAAF Peach Bowl Odds

Even if you hate them, you have to respect what the Alabama Crimson Tide have done this season. Although Alabama once again lost a lot of talent to the NFL, the Crimson Tide just reloaded with new players and finished the regular season undefeated and without any serious test. The Washington Huskies look to be up for the challenge though and Chris Petersen has been known to have a few tricks up his sleeve when he has time to prepare. The Peach Bowl will be the first of two College Football Playoff Semifinal games on Saturday.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Washington Huskies
Date and Time: Saturday, December 31, 2016, 3 p.m. ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia
Peach Bowl Odds at Alabama -15, O/U 54
Alabama Seminoles vs. Washington Huskies TV Coverage: ESPN

Odds Analysis

Unsurprisingly, Alabama is the largest favorite of the bowl season. The Crimson Tide opened as a 14.5-point favorite over the Huskies and that line rose to 17 in just over 24 hours of action. As we have moved closer to gameday though, bettors are finding value in so many points and the line has dropped back down to 15.

The Crimson Tide are 9-4 ATS this season and have only been favored by single digits once. It’s amazing that this team has such a strong record given the fact that they have been so dominant under Nick Saban, but that underscores just how good they have been. The over is 4-1 in Alabama’s road games this season with the one under coming against LSU.

Washington was expected to be much better this season, but only a handful of experts saw this team competing for a PAC-12 title and a CFP appearance. This will be the first time the Huskies have been an underdog all season, but this team wasn’t great in the role of the favorite this season with a 7-6 ATS mark. Although over was 8-1 in Washington’s first nine games, the under was 3-0-1 down the stretch.

Bowl Game History

It’s sort of incredible to believe, but despite the Peach Bowl’s long ties to the SEC, Alabama has never played in this game. Last season, this game was one of the surprises of bowl season with Houston outplaying a Florida State team many expected to cruise. Washington is hoping to pull off a similar feat this season, but beating Alabama in front of what will be a very partisan crowd will be difficult.

Team and Coaching Bowl Game History

The Washington Huskies haven’t played in a major bowl game since knocking off Purdue at the Rose Bowl in 2001. Last season, Washington knocked off Southern Miss in the Heart of Dallas Bowl to give Chris Petersen his first postseason win with the team. Overall, Petersen is 6-3 in bowl games with two Fiesta Bowl victories to boot.

Nick Saban has a fantastic bowl record in places outside of the Sugar Bowl. He is 7-0 with the Crimson Tide in anywhere except New Orleans and has four national titles to boot. Last year, Alabama drubbed Michigan State 38-0 in the CFP semifinal and most expect a similar performance this time around.

Recent Games of Note

Washington has not played east of the Continental Divide this season and there’s a real concern that the Huskies will essentially be playing in front of a hostile crowd. This side had difficulty in those environments on the road against Arizona and Utah, beating each team by just one score.

The last time we saw the Crimson Tide, they were putting a whooping on the Gators in the SEC Championship Game for a second straight season. Alabama has destroyed teams offensively this year, but now there are questions about how well that offense will perform with Lane Kiffin on his way out. Bama’s offense has been held under 30 points once this season, but if they don’t get to 30 this team could find itself in a game.