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Ole Miss vs. Auburn ATS Picks

NCAAF Week 6 Picks

The Auburn Tigers made a huge statement last week when they blew out Mississippi State 49-10. The Tigers should have a clear path in front of them to 5-1 this week when they take on the Ole Miss Rebels, though this could also be a reminder of just how talented this Mississippi squad truly is.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Auburn Tigers
Date and Time
: Saturday, October 7, 2017, 12 p.m. ET
Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Opening College Football Odds: Auburn -20
Ole Miss vs. Auburn TV Coverage: SEC Network

Ole Miss was laughed off the field last week by Alabama, but it's hard to say anything short of the fact that it had that coming after beating the Tide in two of the last three seasons. The Crimson Tide flat out look angry right now, and when they're playing angry football, they aren't beaten by anyone in the land.

It's hard to get a real gauge at this point of just how good the Rebels are. They have two great games under their belt against South Alabama and Tennessee-Martin and two duds against Cal and Alabama. This game probably isn't going to shed a lot of light on the overall success of this club either considering how polarizing the game is.

When Jarrett Stidham transferred from Baylor to Auburn, he envisioned throwing the ball a little less but being able to turn it loose when he did. That's exactly what happened last week against Mississippi State.

Stidham had an incredibly easy night at the office, going 13-for-16 for 264 yards and two touchdowns. He was virtually perfect on the day due to the fact that the Bulldogs were lured into the box thanks to the tremendous day that Kerryon Johnson had on the ground with 116 yards and three scores.

In short, that was Auburn football. The Tigers had gotten away from their ground game a little too much early in the season, but they're back where they need to be coming into this game. Should they continue to play like they did against Mississippi State on both sides of the ball, they'll be legitimate National Championship contenders this season.

Quote to Note

"The onus is on simplifying and playing fast. I think we're good enough to go and score points." – Ole Miss coach Matt Luke

That's the one thing that the Rebels really haven't done of late. They only ran 55 plays last week against Alabama, and that isn't going to cut it for a team that is going to try to play up-tempo and get more snaps off than the average team.

Shea Patterson looks like he has taken several steps in the wrong direction after his hot start to the season, but we know that he's capable and is supremely talented. A.J. Brown, DeMarkus Lodge and D.K. Metcalf are all receivers who believe they have the ability to play professionally one day, and that's something that Auburn is going to have to be really aware of in this game.

Ole Miss vs. Auburn Free Picks

Auburn's defense doesn't get enough credit in our eyes. We know that the Clemson game in Death Valley ended in the loss column, but this was the one team that really found a way to slow down Kelly Bryant this year.

The Tigers rank No. 9 in the land in total defense at 259.2 yards per game allowed and have conceded a total of just 55 points in five games, sixth-best in America.

That said, we're still going to cautiously take the points in spite of all of that merely due to the fact that NCAA football sportsbooks all overreact to what we just saw instead of the whole body of work. Auburn is good, but it's coming off of its best game of the year, while Ole Miss is coming off of its worst. Neither team is truly at the extreme that it showed last week, and that's why the Rebels are getting a few too many points in our eyes.

College Football ATS Pick: Ole Miss +20 at BookMaker.eu
College Football Score Prediction: Auburn 42, Ole Miss 24