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Michigan vs. Wisconsin ATS Picks

NCAAF Odds Online

There is perhaps no team in America disrespected more than the Wisconsin Badgers. Sure, their schedule hasn't been anything to write home about this year, but this is a team that has whooped up on every team it has faced. If it can say the same about the Michigan Wolverines on Saturday, you'd like to think that would remove at least some of the doubt the College Football Playoff Selection Committee has about this team.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Date and Time
: Saturday, November 18, 2017, 12 p.m. ET
Location: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
Opening College Football Odds: Wisconsin -10
Michigan vs. Wisconsin TV Coverage: FOX

With the wild day that happened on Saturday, there is more than one two-loss team that could find itself in front of the Badgers on Tuesday when the newest College Football Playoff rankings come out.

There's a legitimate question as to whether this Wisconsin team really has a path to the playoff even though it is undefeated. It's going to take a lot more in the way of chaos at the top of the rankings to assure that the Badgers are going to have their shot.

Regardless, the best Wisconsin can do is to keep on doing its job and winning. This is a team that ranks No. 2 in America in total defense and No. 23 in scoring offense. It's hard to ask much more than that, even with the lousy schedule the Badgers have been up against.

Michigan might have lost those two games to Michigan State and Penn State, but what really separates this team from Penn State or Ohio State at this point? In our eyes, not a heck of a lot.

Jim Harbaugh's team is a perfect 8-0 otherwise, albeit against a schedule that hasn't been a lot to write home about. Since losing for the second time this season, the Wolverines took care of business against Rutgers, Minnesota and Maryland to setup these huge last two games of the season.

Big Blue can't win the Big Ten without some more help, but the fact that they can still win 10 games and finish up with wins over the Badgers and Buckeyes could put them into the New Year's Six.

Brandon Peters has taken over under center and is at least showing a bit of competency as a thrower. He has only thrown 46 passes in his career, but Peterson is averaging 7.2 yards per pass attempt and most importantly, has yet to throw a pick this year.

Key Stat

6 – The number of 30+ yard runs the Wolverines have had in their last three games combined.

Michigan didn't have any of those explosive running plays against Maryland, but it didn't need it to put the Terps down. That said, the wins over Rutgers and Minnesota both featured huge gains on the ground by both Karan Higdon and Chris Evans, men who are only playing extensively due to the fact that Ty Isaac is injured.

The Wolverines have shown that they don't need a heck of a lot of offense to win games, though those solid offensive possessions could be really hard to come by against a Wisconsin team that has a stout defense.

Michigan vs. Wisconsin Free Picks

This is the biggest moment of the season for the Badgers, but we're not sure they're up to the challenge. Beating Northwestern and Iowa was one thing, but regardless as to what the rankings say, this Michigan team is the best team that has shown up on their schedule this year.

Alex Hornibrook has been fantastic at times this season, but he's not an elite quarterback by any stretch of the imagination. This is also easily the best defensive Jonathan Taylor has seen in his young career.

Expect this to be a low-scoring slugfest where two touchdowns might be enough for either offense to seize control of this game. There's a reason why all of the top NCAA football sportsbooks agree that the Wolverines shouldn't be horrendously large underdogs in this game.

College Football ATS Pick: Michigan +10 at
College Football Score Prediction: Michigan 20, Wisconsin 16