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Miami vs. Pittsburgh ATS Picks

NCAAF Betting Week 13

The Miami Hurricanes are two wins away from improbably playing in the College Football Playoff. Mark Richt's club keeps finding ways to win games no matter how much of a hole it ends up it, though it will hope to avoid such a hole this week on the road against the Pittsburgh Panthers.

Miami Hurricanes vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
Date and Time
: Friday, November 24, 2017, 12 p.m. ET
Location: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Opening College Football Odds: Miami -13.5
Miami vs. Pittsburgh TV Coverage: ABC

The Panthers have had a weird season, to say the least. They have now been beaten three times by a single score, all of which have come since the start of October. Last week's 20-14 loss to Virginia Tech was disheartening in that, it clinched a losing season and ended any chance of getting into a bowl game.

The Pittsburgh offense has only scored more than 31 points in one game this season. The team has never really settled into a quarterback this season, and the backfield has been completely uneasy with James Conner moving on to the NFL.

The season was really summed up nicely at the end of the game against V-Tech when the Panthers ran the ball from the 2-yard line with 0:03 left in the game and were pushed back off the line of scrimmage almost immediately.

Miami keep forcing turnovers and keeps finding ways to win games. The Hurricanes have been no strangers to being behind and living to tell about it this year. They were behind by two scores against Virginia early on last week and came back to put the duel away relatively easily. The 44-28 victory looked a lot more impressive on the scoreboard than it was on the field, but that's nothing new either.

Outside of a 28-10 win over Virginia Tech and a 41-8 win over Notre Dame, "The U" hasn't done a lot all that impressive this season. The Canes have had far too many close calls, but they keep living to tell about it because their defense keeps coming up with big play after big play.

Key Stat

5 – The number of consecutive games in which the Hurricanes have forced at least three turnovers, the longest such streak in the FBS this season.

We keep talking about the Canes and their "Turnover Chain," and its cult following has been borderline ridiculous this season. Still, it's hard to say that this gimmick hasn't worked out well. Even the special teams unit is getting in on the act, as starting running back Travis Homer got the Turnover Chain for the first time this year when he recovered a fumble on punt coverage against UVA.

The Panthers are turning the ball over 1.8 times per game this season, and that's a number that could easily rise in their last game of the season.

Miami vs. Pittsburgh Free Picks

There are going to be a lot of sharp bets on Pittsburgh in this last game of the season, but we think this is a game in which Miami is going to roll. The Hurricanes' offense has been significantly better over the course of the last several games, and we can't imagine them not scoring 30+ in this game.

You probably don't realize that Homer is averaging 6.6 yards per carry, and you almost certainly don't know that Malik Rosier is on the verge of throwing for 3,000 yards and has a 23/9 TD/INT ratio.

There aren't any flashy receivers on this team, and the names aren't going to overwhelm you. At some point, though, you just have to realize that this Miami squad is rock solid. We don't think it stands much of a chance against Clemson or any of the other top teams in the nation, but this isn't a game against an elite team. This is a game against a Pittsburgh squad that strikes us as mentally and physically finished.

The best internet sportsbooks aren't giving "The U" nearly enough credit.

College Football ATS Pick: Miami -13.5 at BookMaker.eu
College Football Score Prediction: Miami 34, Pittsburgh 16