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Memphis vs. Tulane ATS Picks

Week 7 College Football Online

The Memphis Tigers probably don't want you to realize it, but they're 4-1 and really aren't all that far outside of the Top 25. They've got road games coming up in consecutive weeks, but they're very likely going to be favored in both of these games. Week 7's clash comes on Friday night against the Tulane Green Wave, a team overachieving for sure through nearly half of their season.

Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wave
Date and Time
: Friday, October 14, 2016, 8 p.m. ET
Location: Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, LA
Week 7 College Football Odds at Memphis -11
Memphis vs. Tulane TV Coverage: ESPNU

The Tigers fell behind Temple 13-0 at home last Thursday, and against one of the top defenses in the AAC, that generally would be a recipe for disaster. Memphis though, kicked a field goal with no time left in the first half to get a little bit of moment, and it parlayed that into a 31-point second half. Sure, the defense and special teams both chipped in a TD to help out the cause, but the offense managed to have much of its 325 yards in that second half, and that might end up being the difference between sticking around in the AAC race and falling off of the pace so early that Houston would probably run away with the AAC West.

The concern we have out of Memphis of late is a defense that has been pretty darn bad these last two weeks. Ole Miss and Temple – granted, the two best teams the Tigers have faced thus far this year – combined for over 1,100 yards and 75 points over the course of 120 minutes of football. So which defense is the one we're going to see out of the Tigers? The one that has been miserable since the start of October, or the one that allowed a total of 27 points in three games in September?

Tulane isn't far from being a 5-0 team, but the bottom line is that it really hasn't played anybody yet. The schedule is going to get a heck of a lot tougher, and the fact that this club only has three wins thus far probably is a recipe to fail to reach a bowl game. That said, for a team that hasn't had a history of playing in the second season, just the fact that we're even talking about the possibility of a bowl game in the middle of October is an accomplishment.

The Green Wave ended up with a bye week due to the movement of their game against UCF thanks to Hurricane Matthew. That might give this team a chance to get its passing game going. The Green Wave rank No. 127 in the nation in passing, and that's bad news against such a potent Memphis offense.

Matchup To Watch

The Green Wave absolutely cannot play this game from far behind. Glen Cuiellette and Johnathan Brantley are both awful quarterbacking options, as these two men have combined for just 516 passing yards in five games. They've also completed just 41-of-88 passes.

Tulane runs the ball on 74.7 percent of its plays, and if this game starts to get a little bit out of hand and it has to throw the pill, this could end up being a catastrophic development.

That said, Memphis is allowing 269.0 passing yards per game, so we do know that this is a big problem for it as well. But can a team with as bad of a passing game as Tulane really take advantage of it? Probably not.

Memphis vs. Tulane Free Picks

The Tigers are the favorites in this one at -11 on the odds at, but we have a feeling this game is going to end up being relatively close. If the Green Wave can just throw the ball a little bit to loosen things up for Dontrell Hilliard and Josh Rounds in the running game, they can ultimately win this game.

That said, the Tulane defense isn't good enough to finish off the Tigers. Memphis will ultimately win this game, but we aren't all that confident that it will be by any sort of a margin. Look for a similar result to what we saw in Week 6 for the Tigers.

Memphis vs. Tulane ATS Pick: Tulane +11 at
Memphis vs. Tulane Score Prediction: Memphis 37, Tulane 30