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Louisiana Monroe vs. Florida State ATS Picks

Pro Week 14 NCAAF lines

In fairness to the Florida State Seminoles, had Hurricane Irma never happened, they would probably already be in the clubhouse at 6-6 and be guaranteed to extend the longest streak of consecutive seasons with a trip to a bowl game. The fact that the game against the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks had to be cancelled was unlucky, but it was incredibly fortunate that the Sun Belt gave the Warhawks this final week of the season off. It gave the Noles a chance to have one last home game against a team they should have faced three months ago and will grant them the opportunity to get that coveted sixth victory.

Louisiana Monroe Warhawks vs. Florida State Seminoles
Date and Time
: Saturday, December 2, 2017, 12 p.m. ET
Location: Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
Opening College Football Odds: Florida State -27
Louisiana Monroe vs. Florida State TV Coverage: ACC Network

Motivation is going to be a big question in this game on both sides. The Seminoles should be done for the season, but they're finally playing well at the end of the season. They fell to 3-6 after losing to Clemson in Death Valley, and it was only then that the team announced that this game would be made up in Week 14 just to try to get into a bowl game.

James Blackman knows that this is probably the last game he ever plays in at Doak Campbell Stadium before Deondre Francois comes back to lead the team next year. He's definitely improved down the stretch, but the Florida State offense has been a no-show for much of the season and waited until the end of October to post its first double-digit lead of the season.

ULM doesn't have anything left to play for either, though. The team was beaten in what should have been its Sun Belt finale against Arkansas State 67-50.

At least the Warhawks have been interesting this year. They've scored at least 50 points four times this season and at least 45 points five times. They hung right in there with a Memphis team that is playing for a spot in the New Year's Six this week in a 37-29 loss, and they knocked off an Appalachian State team a couple weeks ago that was a trendy upset pick against Georgia in Week 1.

Even at Auburn, ULM was locked in a 7-7 game at the end of the first quarter and a 14-7 game 35 minutes into the affair until the wheels started to come off.

Betting Trends of Note

It's been a tough year for the Seminoles at home, but at least they've kept their streak together of winning these dinky non-conference games against Group of Five schools.

The Noles have won 15 straight home games against non-Power Five schools, going 11-4 ATS in that span.

Jimbo Fisher's team has been to a bowl game in 35 consecutive seasons, easily the longest active streak in college football. It's going to take a win over the Warhawks to keep that going on Saturday, or else the top streak will revert to Virginia Tech, who will be playing in a bowl game for a 25th straight season this year.

Louisiana Monroe vs. Florida State Free Picks

Caleb Evans has had an absolutely incredible season in both the positive and negative direction for ULM. He threw for 454 yards and ran for 61 more against Arkansas State, accounting for six total touchdowns, but he was also picked off three times.

The Warhawks have allowed 534.6 yards per game this season and are fresh off of a 781-yard performance allowed against Arkansas State.

This Florida State team, though, doesn't have the offensive firepower to beat a spread set this high by the top college football sportsbooks. This is ULM's bowl game, and we suspect it's going to play like it on Saturday afternoon at the Doak. Don't be shocked if this game ends up being much closer than the experts believe.

College Football ATS Pick: Louisiana Monroe +27 at
College Football Score Prediction: Florida State 37, Louisiana Monroe 20