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Florida State vs. Boston College ATS Picks

NCAAF Week 9 Odds

The Florida State Seminoles haven't started 0-3 at home since 1974. They're off to the worst start a preseason AP-Top 3 team has had since in 1984 Pitt Panthers started at 0-5. They've got the longest streak of consecutive seasons in America having played in a bowl game. Yet all of that is clearly in jeopardy now.

If the garnet and gold aren't careful, they're going to be beaten on Friday night by the Boston College Eagles.

Florida State Seminoles vs. Boston College Eagles
Date and Time
: Friday, October 27, 2017, 8 p.m. ET
Location: Alumni Stadium, Chestnut Hill MA
Opening College Football Odds: Florida State -3.5
Florida State vs. Boston College TV Coverage: ESPN

Yikes.

Coming into Week 8 of the season, Florida State was one of the two teams amongst the Power Five squads to not score 28 points in a game. The other was Illinois.

The good news is that that mark isn't true any longer after the Seminoles scored 28 in a losing effort against Louisville at home. The bad news is that the 28 points weren't enough against Louisville.

The Seminoles can blame their offense all they want, but everyone knew this was going to be a drag of a season from the point that Deondre Francois went down with a torn patellar tendon. It was up to the defense to hold the fort to get this team back to its winning ways. That said, the 'D' has now allowed two game-winning scoring drives in the team's last three games, and it just barely did enough to hold off both Wake Forest and Duke.

Steve Addazio was sitting on a really toasty seat a couple weeks ago. All of a sudden, though, Boston College looks like a winning program that could still make a bowl game. The Eagles have won back-to-back games against Louisville and Virginia, and in the process, they've scored 40+ points in consecutive ACC games for the first time in their history.

The Eagles have done this in two different ways for sure against the Cards and Cavaliers. They ran for 364 yards against Louisville; Anthony Brown threw for 275 yards and three touchdowns against Virginia.

Key Player

You hate to pin all of this for FSU on James Blackman, but we keep wanting him to stop turning the ball over. It was his crucial fumble that took away what might have been the game-winning scoring drive last week, and that's now seven turnovers in six games for Blackman, and those turnovers seem to be coming at crucial times in games.

Boston College's defense hasn't been fantastic, but it does have 14 forced turnovers this season, including a whopping 12 interceptions.

Florida State vs. Boston College Free Picks

The Seminoles might be 0-3 at home this year, but they're 2-0 when they're out on the road. At some point, you have to wonder just how much more this Florida State team can take mentally before it checks out for the season like Notre Dame and Michigan State did last year.

That said, Jimbo Fisher, for all of the flaws that he has seen in his team this year, keeps finding ways to bounce back from losses and puts the team in the right mindset to challenge on the road.

If the Seminoles want to ultimately reach a bowl game this year, this is a game they can't afford to lose. The oddsmakers know that Florida State has the better team, and that's why it's still a road favorite at all of the top NCAA football sportsbooks in spite of the fact that this game might mean the season to Boston College.

The Florida State defense doesn't have any ridiculous athletes like Lamar Jackson to worry about this week. That could be the key to coming up with a nice road victory to keep the team on track to play December football.

College Football ATS Pick: Florida State -3.5 at BookMaker.eu
College Football Score Prediction: Florida State 30, Boston College 14