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Colorado State vs. Alabama ATS Picks

NCAAF Week 3 Odds

The Alabama Crimson Tide might not have covered against Fresno State last week, but they sure looked the part of dominance for the second straight week. Their next victims are the Colorado State Rams, one of the few teams in America who are playing a fourth game in 21 days to kick off the season before finally getting a bye next week.

Colorado State Rams vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Date and Time
: Saturday, September 16, 2017, 7 p.m. ET
Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
Opening College Football Odds: Alabama -27
Colorado State vs. Alabama TV Coverage: SEC Network

It's really not fair that the Crimson Tide were up against such a ridiculous number last week against Fresno State. They were dominant from start to finish, merely gave up one touchdown in the fourth quarter, and they still never had a shot of covering the 42.5-point spread. Such is life when you're betting on the best team in America.

Jalen Hurts didn't do anything to hurt his early push towards the Heisman Trophy against the Bulldogs. He was certainly better statistically than he was against Florida State, as once again, he flashed both his arm (128 yards and a touchdown) and his legs (154 yards and two scores).

Colorado State has a better body of work about it now that it has three games this season against all sorts of walks of life. The team couldn't get anything going offensively against Colorado in its toughest game of the year to date, but against Abilene Christian and Oregon State, it was full speed ahead for the offense.

The Rams, though, are in for a much different challenge in this game. Let's remember that they didn't score a single touchdown against a Colorado defense that is good, but is far from Alabama good. The Crimson Tide have surrendered a total of 17 points this year in games against both the FSUs, and even though they've been thinned out at linebacker with the absences of Rashaan Evans, Terrell Lewis, Christian Miller and Anfernee Jennings.

Key Factor

If you're going to beat Alabama, you'd better play a ridiculously clean game. Colorado State has had problems with that thus far this season, coughing the ball up seven times in three games to date, not even including the blocked punt against Abilene Christian that was returned for the Wildcats' only touchdown of the game.

The Crimson Tide might have problems at linebacker, but their secondary is as good as it gets. They picked off Deondre Francois twice before sending him out of the game against Florida State and now have a total of four forced turnovers this season.

You know the Tide aren't going to beat themselves. Hurts doesn't put the ball in the air often enough to get himself in any sort of serious trouble, and the team hasn't turned the ball over yet this year. That's going to put a slew of strain on Nick Stevens and the CSU offense if the team is going to go -2 in turnovers or so against a defense that is flat out this good.

Colorado State vs. Alabama Free Picks

Unlike Fresno State, this Colorado State team has a lot of respect from the oddsmakers at all of the top online sportsbooks. The Rams were only +3 in a neutral site game against Colorado, and the spread in this game suggests that they would have been huge favorites over Fresno State this year had the two teams met in MWC play.

Even though it's hard to bet on Alabama at this price, we're still going to take the plunge. The Crimson Tide are as good as it gets, and we know they're going to be spotted a couple touchdowns thanks to Colorado State turnovers.

Let's also not forget that good ol' Nick Saban loves sticking it to these SEC coaches. Before the Crimson Tide were the Crimson Tide, they marched into Georgia when Bobo was the offensive coordinator for Mark Richt and absolutely shut down his offense to the tune of a 31-0 start with Matt Stafford at quarterback for the Bulldogs. Alabama has been virtually unstoppable since then. That dominance will hold true in Week 3.

College Football ATS Pick: Play Alabama at
College Football Score Prediction: Alabama 44, Colorado State 7