While not quite the spectacle of May-Mac, this is a fight that actually matters. Check out our top-rated sportsbooks for the best boxing odds, and let’s get into how you should be betting.
Boxing Odds at BookMaker.eu
Gennady Golovkin -156
Saul Alvarez +131
Over/under 9.5 rounds, over -225, under +190
The story of this fight is that Canelo is moving up a weight class to face a bigger, more powerful fighter. Golovkin isn’t just a knockout artist, he’s a polished puncher as well. While we’ve gotten used to watching him just walk through opponents - to the tune of 24-straight stoppages - he showed against David Lemieux that he could win using ring control and a stiff jab.
So the big question here is if Canelo can handle “GGG’s” power. History would suggest he can take the shots: Alvarez is built like a tank, has never been knocked down and staggered only a few times in over fifty fights. And while he has the toughness and grit typical of Mexican fighters, Canelo also possesses excellent defense.
Offensively, Canelo is the more diverse fighter - he’s outboxed bigger guys and bullied smaller, faster ones. There’s no question he belongs on the pound-for-pound list. While GGG is far from a crude brawler, technically Canelo should be able to counter him with a sharp uppercut - a punch that the champ has proven vulnerable to in the past.
Weather he can truly hurt the middleweight champ is another matter.
This pairing would have been a lot more favorable to Golovkin a few years ago - his peak was likely 2014-2015. Now 35, the Kazakh native is facing a stud 26-year old with world-class credentials. One fighter is slightly past his prime, while the other is just reaching it. That makes a difference at this level of the game.
Boxing Betting Tips
In terms of picking a winner, this is an extremely tough call. A lot of fans and analysts are split down the middle, giving this the feel of a pick’em. That’s why the price on Canelo is so appealing. On paper, the sum of his overall skills is greater than Golovkin’s. If - and that’s a big if - he can take GGG’s punches, he knows how to work the scores and play to a favorable crowd. It’s hard to bet against Golovkin, who is undefeated so far, but Canelo is an extremely live ‘dog.
The rounds over seems like the safest play, as both men have the durability and the experience to gut it out to the final bell, but we’re not loving the price.
Boxing Odds Pick: Canelo to win at +131
Bet on boxing odds at BookMaker.eu now