Bet the Milwaukee Bucks at BookMaker.eu
The Bucks will take to their home floor in an ornery mood after dropping the final two games of their five-game road trip out west to the Utah Jazz and Phoenix Suns. The last of which was incredibly embarrassing after they went off the betting board 13-point favorites to win the game. Milwaukee has taken two of the three played meetings between these division rivals to date, and did so by owning the glass. With Domantas Sabonis still likely out of the mix due to a sprained ankle, any shot the Pacers had of closing the gap is all but gone.
Even if he does return, how healthy will that ankle be to bank around with Giannis and company in an attempt to come up with more loose caroms? Sabonis reeled in 9 rebounds in the Pacers 106-97 home loss in the most recent meeting. Even his production saw Indiana lose the rebounding battle 52-39!
Indiana has been a decent investment on the road to date in going 17-14 SU but only 14-17 ATS. Five of those losses and six pointspread defeats were accrued in their L/8 road games. On the flipside, Milwaukee has only been defeated twice in its L/10 home games and one of them occurred when “The Greek Freak” sat out to rest his knees in the 20-point loss to the Magic. That said, the team only went on to cover the closing NBA odds in four of those matchups as a 9.2-point favorite on average.
Even so, Milwaukee will have had 2+ days to get their bodies and minds right off that grueling road trip. That paired with Indiana likely having major issues keeping up on the glass has me siding with the home team minus the points at offshore sportsbooks.
Bet the Portland Trail Blazers at BookMaker.eu
I faded Portland at Memphis on Tuesday night for a couple of reasons. The first and most weighted reason was because it was the team’s last stop on a prolonged seven-game road trip that picked up right out of the All-Star break. They covered each of the previous six games so the laws of regression were certain to play a role. They did and we cashed a nice ticket on the Grizz ATS as well as on the money line.
The second reason I had no issues backing Memphis was because of this game that Lillard and company were most definitely looking ahead to. How could they not? This is as crucial a game as it gets! These teams sport identical records at 39-25. However, OKC owns the tiebreaker after it took each of the first three skirmishes with the Blazers both SU and ATS.
While it won’t do much in the way of earning the tiebreaker, it will put them ahead in the standings for the time being and that’s something you know Portland will want to take advantage of at this point in the season.
Portland hasn’t been embarrassed in any of the previous confrontations losing them by an average of 6.7 points per game. The lone meeting in the Moda Center saw Portland fall by a 111-109 final count as 1-point favorites. The game was nip and tuck through the first half, but then OKC outscored them by 11 in the third quarter and made the lead hold up after the final buzzer went off. The loss snapped Portland’s eight-game home win streak over the Thunder in which they defeated the linemakers on all but two occasions.
Tuesday’s loss at Minnesota saw Oklahoma City fail to cover for an eighth straight time. Portland has been playing with its hair on fire late save for that hiccup against the Grizz, so I expect them to take to their home hardwood and put forth a determined effort to save some face in the final regular season matchup between these division rivals.