The NCAA basketball odds and lines will be near pick ‘em or show Kansas State as a very short favorite for this Big 12 battle.
Kansas State plays with redemption following an 81-75 loss at Iowa State on January 25. The Wildcats covered the NCAA basketball odds as a 9.5-point underdog. With home wins over the three other top teams in the Big 12 in Kansas, Texas and Oklahoma, the Wildcats will be tough to beat on their home court.
But Iowa State is 10-5 in league play and tied for second-place; one game in front of Kansas State. This Big 12 battle for second place will feature a contrast in styles as Iowa State pushes the pace and ranks top-15 in the nation in adjusted tempo while averaging 80 PPG in Big 12 play. Kansas State plays at a slow, controlled pace and is tied for the league-lead in scoring defense allowing 69 PPG.
These two teams are #2-3 in shooting hitting 46% and 45% in Big 12 play while K-State holds opponents to a league-low 41% FG and Iowa State allows 42% shooting. The college basketball odds and stats show Iowa State taking a league-high 23 three-point attempts per game. Iowa State coach Fred Hoiberg has his team push the pace, spread the floor and shoot the 3-ball, but the Cyclones are knocking down just 31% from the arch and Kansas State has the league’s best 3-point defense holding opponents to 30% FG from the arch.
Both teams have a negative rebounding margin, but Iowa State’s quickness and ability to hit the outside shots will be the key to winning this contest. Against strong offenses and up-tempo teams Kansas and Oklahoma, the Wildcats have allowed 86, 82, 86 and 66 points. Iowa State scored 81 points in the first meeting against Kansas State, and although they are not as likely to reach that scoring total again in the “Octagon of Doom,” we’ll call for a Cyclones road win and cover against the NCAA basketball betting odds.
Free Play: Iowa State leads the Big 12 in assists, steals and assist/turnover ratio. For a fast-paced team, they minimize turnovers and are very efficient on offense while ranking #4 in the nation in 2-point shooting percentage. The Cyclones are playing solid basketball winning seven of their last eight games and we like their chances to win and cover the NCAA basketball odds on Saturday.
Bet the Iowa State Cyclones over Kansas State on Saturday