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Yankees vs. Red Sox Picks

Pro Baseball Predictions

One of the greatest rivalries in all of baseball is set to play out for the fifteenth time this season on Sunday afternoon when the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox close their three-game series out from historic Fenway Park. The Bronx Bombers held a leg up in the season rivalry winning seven of the 12 meetings heading into Friday’s opener. Sonny Gray will look to continue that dominance in his fourth start in pinstripes.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
Date and Time: Sunday, August 20, 2017, 1:30 p.m. ET
Location: Fenway Park
MLB Odds:
Probable Pitchers: Sonny Gray vs. Doug Fister
Yankees vs. Red Sox TV Coverage: TBS

Off a solid showing in the Subway Series rivalry with the New York Mets, the Yankees will remain on the road and head for Fenway looking to improve upon their poor 30-33 record as a visitor ( -$425 ). After sweeping the Mets in Queens, the Bronx Bombers have won eight of their last 12 games and averaged 4.7 runs per game in those contests. Still a far cry from their 5.1 run per game season average, but they’re improving.

Pitching is what’s allowed for the Yankees to stay in the pennant race since their season took a turn for the worse at the end of June. The staff currently ranks No. 5 in ERA, No. 3 in WHIP and No. 4 in strikeouts. Unfortunately, the starters only ranks No. 16 in the quality start department, but that has more to do with injuries to Michael Pineda and CC Sabathia. Each of Gray’s three outings as a Yankee have been of quality.

The Boston Red Sox did their best impression of the Los Angeles Dodgers on Wednesday night when they stormed back to shock the St. Louis Cardinals in the bottom of the ninth inning to score the 5-4 comeback win. The win amounted to their 69th of the season which now only finds them five games in back of the Houston Astros for the best record in the American League. Should it track the AL West leaders down, the road to the World Series in the AL would go through Fenway.

That would be huge considering John Farrell’s squad has won 38 of its 59 played games in front of the hometown faithful ( $830 ) heading into Friday’s series opener. The Red Sox have been white hot in the month of August winning 11 of 13 games to get out to a four game lead atop the AL East standings. That said, the team checks in just 3-4 in Doug Fister’s seven starts and 3-7 in his 10 overall appearances.


Aroldis Chapman might not be available for this tilt or for any game in this series after pulling up lame with a hamstring issue in his appearance against the Mets last Tuesday night. Should he be unable to go, it would leave closing duties to either David Robertson or Dellin Betances who’ve taken the ball to close games out in the past. Should it be Boston that finds itself in a position to close it out, they’ll be able to breathe a bit easier with Craig Kimbrel and his 28 saves likely to get the call. He’s allowed just three hits and no earned runs in his last six appearances. He also tallied a dominant 13:0 K/BB ratio during that stretch.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Picks

If you plan on throwing down on the odds at for this game, I can’t help but suggest rolling with the home team. Gray has impressed in his three starts as a Yankee, but Boston has been nothing short of money in the bank when matched up against right-handed pitching evidenced by its 56-38 record ( $770 ) and the offense being in a solid groove of late.

It’s tough to stomach backing Fister on the moneyline, but the veteran has come around recently save for his last outing against Cleveland. He opposed the Indians two starts prior and limited them to just 2 ER through 7.2 innings. Getting a chance to see him again so quickly played a role in the five earned through 4.1 innings. Should this game come down to the pens, my nod goes the way of Kimbrel and company.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Pick: Bet on the Red Sox at
Yankees vs. Red Sox Score Prediction: Boston 5 – New York 4