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Yankees vs. Mets Picks

Pro Baseball Predictions

The Subway Series heads to Citi Field where the New York Mets will play the role of host after battling the New York Yankees in Gotham to kick off the week. The Yanks find themselves in the thick of both the AL East and AL wild card races, while the Mets have absolutely no shot of competing in any postseason festivities. These rivals split their four meetings a season ago with the over cashing three times.

New York Yankees vs. New York Mets
Date and Time: Wednesday, August 16, 2017, 8 p.m. ET
Location: Citi Field
MLB Odds:
Probable Pitchers: Jaime Garcia vs. Seth Lugo
Yankees vs. Mets TV Coverage: ESPN

After storming back to win the series opener against the Red Sox, New York looked like it was going to inch closer towards Boston in the standings on Saturday after getting an early two-run bomb from Gary Sanchez and Luis Severino cruising through the first two innings. Then Andrew Benintendi happened. He went on to crush a pair of three-run homers to ultimately lead Boston to the impressive 10-5 come-from-behind victory. The loss dropped the Yankees to 4.5 games back in the division race with Sunday night’s tilt on deck.

That deficit in the division standings expanded on Sunday night when the Bronx Bombers suffered one of their toughest losses of the season. The offense mustered just four hits off Chris Sale through seven innings, but got to the bullpen soon after to take a one run lead into the ninth. Aroldis Chapman failed to convert the save, and then went on to take the loss in extra innings. The loss moved them 5.5 games out of first place, and saw the Royals, Twins and Angels pull a game closer in the wild card race.

As the regular season winds down, it’s become awfully clear that Terry Collins’ squad won’t be participating in the playoffs for a third straight season. This club had big plans at the outset of the year, but injuries and poor play have prevented the team from coming close to competing with the Washington Nationals for division supremacy. There’s no way the team had a chance with Matt Harvey ineffective early before going on the DL, and Noah Syndergaard lost for all but one month of the season.

A bulk of the $1520 this team has cost baseball bettors as hosts to date has been due to being installed heavy favorites. That won’t be the case tonight, and the Mets stand 12-14 and average 4.5 runs per game against southpaws. The Mets entered this series on a high off taking three of four from the Phillies in the City of Brotherly Love. Should the Yankees enter the series hungover, Michael Conforto and his mates would be thrilled to take advantage.

Player to Watch

Aaron Judge – The hype train attached to the rookie has gone off track since the All-Star break. Since then, the behemoth outfielder has only managed to reach the cheap seats five times. He’s only launched one home run in the month of August with the last coming back on the sixth. Seth Lugo owns a 1.31 HR/9 average, and up until his last start, had conceded two home runs in each of his previous three outings. A whopping 28 of Judge’s 35 home runs have come against right-handers whom he’s batting a robust .300 against with a 1.033 OPS for the season. If ever his home run drought was to come to an end, it would be tonight against the recently homer prone Lugo.

Yankees vs. Mets Picks

Neither of Jaime Garcia’s first two starts in pinstripes have been of quality. However, both offenses faced in the Red Sox and Indians are much better than what he’ll throw at tonight in the Mets. The lefty made a pair of starts against New York as a member of the Braves earlier this season. He churned out a quality effort at home, but was roughed up for 4 ER through 6 innings in his 2017 debut at Citi Field in early-April. This will mark Lugo’s first-ever start against the Yankees. None of his last three starts have been of quality, and he failed to pitch through the sixth in each. Should he leave early, it would make those that backed the home team at one of the top-rated sportsbooks rely on a Mets bullpen that’s been one of the worst in the league at closing games out. That’s something you should look to avoid at all costs!

Yankees vs. Mets Pick: Bet the Yankees at
Yankees vs. Mets Score Prediction: New York 6 – New York 3