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Tigers vs. Mariners Picks

MLB Championship Winner Betting Odds

ESPN Monday Night Baseball heads to the Pacific Northwest where Miguel Cabrera and the Detroit Tigers will look to avenge a home series loss in Motown to Robinson Cano and the Seattle Mariners when the teams last met in late April. It won’t be easy to do however with the M’s holding serve in their own house six of the last eight times they welcomed the Tigers to Safeco.

Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners
Date and Time: Monday, June 19, 2017, 10 p.m. ET
Location: Safeco Field
MLB Odds:
Probable Pitchers: Jordan Zimmerman vs. Sam Gaviglio
Tigers vs. Mariners TV Coverage: ESPN

Miggy put an end to the Tigers two game losing streak when he sent one into the night to allow Detroit to walk-off against the Rays on Thursday. The win was much needed as it only moved Brad Ausmus’s squad to 4-6 over their last ten ( -$311 ). They entered Friday’s second matchup with Tampa Bay four games out of first place in the AL Central and 5.5 games out in the wild card race.

We’re yet to see the Tigers really bust out this season, and much of that has to do with Cabrera and Victor Martinez getting out to slow starts. Maybe Thursday’s smash gets Miggy going. If not, it’s going to be tough for J.D. Martinez to continue carrying the offense. Detroit’s only averaging 4.8 runs per game ( No. 10 ), and when you got the league’s No. 27 ranked bullpen trying to hold leads, that just doesn’t cut it.

Like many other teams in the league, the Mariners have been decimated by injuries. Especially in the starting rotation. James Paxton only just returned to action after a month hiatus, and both Felix Hernandez and Hisashi Iwakuma aren’t expected back until late June. Mitch Haniger just returned to the lineup as well, but Jean Segura is still nursing an ankle injury.

Seattle just hasn’t been able to play with all its parts, yet still only sits two games under .500 and five games back in the wild card race. There’s a ton of talent on this roster, and should it stay healthy the rest of the way, it will have a solid shot of reaching the playoffs. With that the case, hitting them in some form or another on the futures odds isn’t a terrible idea.

Trends of Note

While the Tigers own a +.500 record at home, they’ve been pretty bad on the road losing 20 of their 34 overall games for a -$468 return on investment. Dating back to May 22, they’ve managed only one series win in five tries and it came against the defunct Royals. Seattle has had its fair share of issues on the road as well ( -$641 ), but it’s the home team in this series and home has been where the heart is for Scott Servais’ squad. The M’s have come out on top in 20 of their 33 home games ( $495 ), and will be looking to set the tone of this series immediately.

Tigers vs. Mariners Picks

I want absolutely nothing to do with Jordan Zimmerman. The guy’s thrown nothing but meat up at the plate, and it’s been taken for rides more times than not. Though he’s 5-5 overall through 13 starts, the record has more to do with the offense giving him 5.5 run per start to work with than his body of work. Opponents are batting .298 against him overall and that nasty stat increases to .305 when on the road. Detroit checks in an unblemished 0-6 against the odds at when he toes a visiting bump.

Sam Gaviglio has allowed one ER or less in each of his five made home starts. While he’s had issues keeping the ball in the yard ( 1.6 HR/9 ), he’s only allowed two of them in his three home starts. He’s also gone at least five innings in every start, and I trust Seattle’s pen more than the Tigers so I’ll lean towards the home team and look for them to get the series started off on the right foot.

Tigers vs. Mariners Pick: Bet the Mariners at
Tigers vs. Mariners Score Prediction: Seattle 5 – Detroit 4