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Marlins vs. Braves Series Preview

Baseball Predictions

A battle of cellar dwellers is set to go down in Hotlanta through the weekend with the Miami Marlins paying their first ever visit to brand spanking new SunTrust Park to take on the Atlanta Braves. The Fish have taken three of the NL East rival’s first five skirmishes this season, but have struggled against the Braves on the road amassing a 3-5 record over their last eight visits.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves
Dates: Friday, June 16 – Sunday, June 18, 2017
Location: SunTrust Park

Now 9.5 games in back of the division leading Washington Nationals and 10.5 games out in the wild card race, it looks to be another lost season in South Beach. That’s unfortunate with guys like Marcell Ozuna and Justin Bour having excellent seasons. If only the Marlins had a pitching staff!

The Braves sit right behind the Marlins in the NL East standings, so the story is quite the same for them. Their best offensive player has been on the DL for the last month, and their wretched defensive play has done a decent starting staff no favors by committing 26 errors ( No. 26 ). Atlanta stands 13-17 at home ( -$383 ) with the over 16-14.

Game 1 Probable Pitchers - Friday, June 16, 2017, 7:35 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Dan Straily vs. Sean Newcomb

Straily has been a nice source of strikeouts for the starting staff, but that’s where the fun ends. His 3.3 BB/9 average is one of the main reasons why he’s only produced quality starts in 30.8 percent of his outings. Miami’s dropped seven of his 13 overall starts, and he’s been at his absolute worst on the road where he’s 1-3 with a 5.91 ERA and ,256 BAA.

The 24-year old earned himself another spot start after tossing 6.1 innings and allowing just one unearned run while racking up a 7:2 K/BB ratio against the Mets. He posted an 11.5 K/9 through 11 starts at Triple-A Gwinnett, but could have a tougher time here against a Marlins offense that’s struck out the ninth fewest times in the league and has game film of his to breakdown.

Game 2 Probable Pitchers - Saturday, June 17, 2017, 4:10 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Jeff Locke vs. Jaime Garcia

Locke still having a gig in the bigs just goes to show how valuable left-handers are at the big-league level. This dude is nothing short of hot garbage. He’ll tease you through five-plus innings on occasion, but you know full well that blow-up inning is right around the corner. Opponents are batting .279 against him away from Marlins Park, and though he’s only allowed one HR through 15-plus innings, at least one is leaving the yard today.

Garcia has been the Braves most consistent hurler to date. Though he’s the owner of a 2-5 record, his underlying stats paint the picture of a much more successful starting pitcher. His team best ERA ( 3.16 ) and WHIP ( 1.23 ) have allowed him to be an innings eater racking up 77 of them over 12 starts. Each of his last five starts has been of quality, and he’s been at his best at Sun Trust where he’s the owner of a 2.48 ERA and .248 BAA.

Game 3 Probable Pitchers - Sunday, June 18, 2017, 1:35 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Jose Urena vs. Mike Foltynewicz

It’s only a matter of time until Urena gets blown up. While he’s 5-2 overall, it’s had much more to do with his offense scoring 5.2 runs per game in his starts than his overall body of work. He owns a 5.7 K/9, 3.4 BB/9 yet has stranded 80.1 percent of his baserunners. His 5.25 FIP and 5.60 xFIP are much higher than his 3.70 ERA. A major correction is coming, and I wouldn’t be shocked in the least if Atlanta peppered him Sunday afternoon.

Excellent and disgraceful. Those are two fantastic adjectives that you can use to describe Folty’s 2017 campaign. One game he goes out and throws seven innings of shutout ball with 10 Ks. The next, he gets lit up for 10 hits and 3 HR in just three-plus innings of work. He’s been better at home where he sports a 4.03 ERA and 1.48 WHIP, and already dominated in Miami this season by throwing six innings of shutout ball. That said, you never know what you’re going to get when this erratic flamethrower takes the hill.