San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Dates: Friday, May 19 – Sunday, May 21, 2017
Location: Busch Stadium
There was no way San Fran was sweeping the Dodgers earlier this week. Not with Kershaw on the bump in the finale. Regardless, competing for the NL West pennant moving forward doesn’t look like the pipe dream it once was just a few short weeks ago. For that to become a reality, the Giants must figure out how to win on the road where they’ve dropped 15 of 21 games played for a -$936 return on investment.
Though the Cardinals were just swept in a mini two-game series against Boston, they had the Red Sox dead to rights in the second game but couldn’t seal the deal. It marked the first time since the beginning of May that the team dropped back-to-back games, and they’ll now look to improve upon yet another poor home record that’s seen them split their first 22 games ( -$402 ).
Game 1 Probable Pitchers - Friday, May 19, 2017, 8:15 p.m. ET ( Local TV )
Matt Moore vs. Michael Wacha
Moore has been incredibly easy to peg this season. Back him at home and fade him till the cows come home on the road. While the law of averages will see him throw a gem as a visitor on occasion, his overall body of work has proven he simply can’t get it done away from AT&T. His home ERA sits at 2.57. On the road, it bloats up to a ridiculous 10.50. St. Louis has had issues versus lefties however ( 3-4, 3.7 RPG ), so it’s entirely possible he thrives in this spot.
The Cardinals have gotten some exceptional starting pitching through the first seven-plus weeks of the season. One of the arms contributing to its No. 3 ranking in the quality start department is Wacha’s. Though the righty is just 2-1 through six starts, he’s allowed just 33 hits and 13 ER while racking up a solid 34:9 K/BB ratio over 36.2 total innings of work. He owns a career 1.88 ERA and .231 BAA in four career starts against the Giants.
Game 2 Probable Pitchers - Saturday, May 20, 2017, 7:15 p.m. ET ( FOX )
Jeff Samardzija vs. Carlos Martinez
Samardzija has been terribly unlucky through his first eight starts. He owns a 1.21 WHIP and opponents are only batting .266 against him, yet his ERA sits at 5.26. He’s struck out 63 and only walked 10. That’s not the K/BB ratio of a pitcher with a 1-5 overall record. That said, he’s been wretched on the road where he owns a 6.66 ERA and allowed 28 hits ( 5 HR ) through 25.2 innings. He hasn’t fared well at Busch either where St. Louis has ripped him for a .325 BAA over six starts.
We’re still waiting for C-Mart to establish himself as the frontend ace St. Louis envisions him to be. The righty has produced four straight quality starts, but wildness still continues to be an issue. His 3.9 BB/9 average isn’t ace-like, and it’s prevented him from going deeper into games. San Fran is below average in taking walks, so a deeper outing could be in the cards for his ninth start of the year. He owns a career 5.02 ERA against the Giants, but has been his best at home where he owns a 3.06 ERA and 32:9 K/BB ratio.
Game 3 Probable Pitchers - Sunday, May 21, 2017, 2:15 p.m. ET ( Local TV )
Matt Cain vs. Adam Wainwright
Cain’s 4.04 ERA is second best within the staff, and the veteran has been a viable arm in the club’s recent resurgence. He just threw 6.2 innings of 1 ER ball at the Dodgers to secure his third win of the season, but did so at home where he’s been much better to date. Only one of his four road starts have been of quality, and he’s been extremely hittable in day games evidenced by his 5.79 ERA compared to his 3.55 ERA in night games. He’s 2-5 with a 6.19 ERA lifetime against St. Louis, and has never won through five tries at Busch Stadium.
Waino has either won or received a no decision in each of his last five starts. None of them were of quality save for his last appearance against the Cubs whom he limited to just four hits and no runs through seven innings – his longest stint of the season. While still serviceable, Wainwright is a shell of his former self. He owns a 3.6 BB/9 average, and has registered a 10.10 K/BB ratio in his last three starts. Not surprisingly, the over has cashed at a 6-2 clip with him on the bump. He’s 5-7 with a 3.27 ERA versus the Giants.