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Brewers vs. Cardinals Series Preview

MLB Point Spreads

The Milwaukee Brewers currently sit atop the NL Central standings one game ahead of the Chicago Cubs and 2.5 games ahead of the St. Louis Cardinals. If ever Mike Matheny’s squad needed a shot in the arm, it’s now. Anything less than a series win and you can likely count the Redbirds out the rest of the way.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Dates: Tuesday, June 13 – Thursday, June 15, 2017
Location: Busch Stadium

Wins have been few and far between for the Brew Crew with Craig Counsell’s squad securing just four wins over their last 10 games ( -$142), but due to both the Cubs and Cardinals hovering around .500, they’ve been able to hold onto the catbird seat atop the division. Milwaukee enters this series having won 16 of its 28 played road games with the over 14-12-2 in those contests.

Losers in 10 of their previous 12 games, the Cardinals sorely needed that visit from Philadelphia. After taking all three games from the Phillies, St. Louis was able to claw back above .500 as a host. Now 17-15 to date ( -$285 ), the Redbirds will look to better that mark against their division rivals who they’ve beaten in four of the seven 2017 meetings.

Game 1 Probable Pitchers - Tuesday, June 13, 2017, 2:15 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Jimmy Nelson vs. Lance Lynn

Four of Nelson’s last five starts have been of quality moving his quality start percentage up to 58.3 for the year. This will be his first start away from Miller Park since May 16. He’s 2-0 with a 4.22 ERA and .250 BAA as a visitor, and been at his best in day games with his ERA down to 1.89 and BAA checking in at .235. St. Louis has flat out owned the righty however with him 0-8 with a 7.09 ERA and .311 BAA through nine career starts.

The luster on Lynn’s hot start to the season has diminished a bit over his last three starts with the righty failing to produce a quality start and the Cardinals losing each game. Each of his previous four starts were on the road, so he’ll be ecstatic to toe the Busch Stadium bump where he’s 2-1 with a 1.85 ERA and 0.90 WHIP across four total starts. He beat the Brewers in Milwaukee on April 22 by tossing seven innings of shutout ball.

Game 2 Probable Pitchers - Wednesday, June 14, 2017, 8:15 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Zach Davies vs. Mike Leake

Davies will look to build on his perfect 3-0 record and 3.98 ERA on the road when he toes the starting bump for the 14th time on Wednesday night. Currently in his best form of the season, the righty has allowed just 13 hits and 5 ER over his last 16 innings of work. He has had issues in night games however with his ERA jumping up to 5.31 and BAA to .323. He’s thrown at the Cardinals twice this season and neither start was of quality.

Leake is currently the ERA ( 2.70 ) and WHIP ( 1.04 ) leader within the Cardinals starting rotation. He only sports a 5-5 record overall and enters start No. 13 having failed to produce a quality start in each of his last three turns. St. Louis has dropped five of his six home starts where he’s thrown to a solid 2.45 ERA and .255 BAA, but only received 2.2 runs per game of support. He threw six innings of 2 ER ball to beat the Brewers in Milwaukee back on April 23.

Game 3 Probable Pitchers - Thursday, June 15, 2017, 7:15 p.m. ET ( Local TV )

Junior Guerra vs. Michael Wacha

Guerra’s return to the starting rotation after missing a bulk of the first two months of the season has been nothing special. The Brewers check in 1-3 in his four made starts of which he produced quality starts on two occasions. He’s only allowed 20 hits and seven ER in his 25.2 innings pitched, and while his 2.45 ERA is solid, his 5.36 FIP and 5.38 xFIP foresee danger on the horizon. St. Louis has ripped him for a .304 BAA through three career starts.

Wacha produced a much-need quality start in his last turn against Philadelphia whom he limited to five hits and 2 ER through six innings to log his third win of the season. The effort put an end to a three-game stretch of ugliness in which he was raked for 15 ER and failed to pitch through the fifth each time. He’s been at his best at home where the righty stands 3-1 with a 2.95 ERA, but St. Louis has dropped his last two starts against Milwaukee. The over stands 5-2 in his seven career starts against the Brew Crew.