Packers vs. Saints Sunday Night Football Betting Picks

PUBLISHED: Thursday, September 24th, 2020
LAST UPDATE: 02:26 pm, Thu, September 24, 2020

Packers vs. Saints Sunday Night Football Betting Picks
The Green Bay Packers will attempt to put an end to a two-game losing streak to the New Orleans Saints when the NFC heavyweights collide on Sunday Night Football. Let's look at Sunday Night Football odds and Sunday Night Football picks.

Date & Time
September 27th, 2020 8:20pm
Mercedes-Benz Superdome - New Orleans, LA
Media Coverage

The Green Bay Packers will attempt to put an end to a two-game losing streak to the New Orleans Saints when the NFC heavyweights collide against the NFL odds under the Sunday Night Football backdrop for a nationally televised audience to see. The betting markets seem to be buying into the Packers who’ve looked tremendous in a pair of one-sided victories to start the season. On the flipside, the Saints haven’t looked great in their first two games; especially last Monday night when they lost outright to the Las Vegas Raiders as road chalk. Regardless, online sportsbooks currently have Drew Brees and company installed field goal home favorites with the total lined at 52.5.

Packers vs. Saints Odds Analysis

Oddsmakers had the Saints installed 4.5-point favorites on the Week 3 lookahead lines preceding their trek to the desert to do battle with the Raiders. After going down in defeat, it reopened with New Orleans installed 4-point favorites and the total lined at 51.5; both the side and total have moved since. Sean Payton’s troops currently check in as 3-point favorites with the total up a full point to 52.5. A laughable 75 percent of the bets booked to this point have come in support of the undefeated Packers plus the points, while upwards of 87 percent of the ticket handle has come in support of both teams combining for a high scorer. FYI, the Sunday nighter has seen the total split through the first two weeks with the home team covering both times.

Green Bay Packers Odds

Green Bay has looked nothing short of exceptional through its first two games. Matt LaFleur’s troops took the screws to Minnesota the opening week of the season with Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams picking on the Vikings youthful and retooled secondary. The Cheeseheads took complete control of the game in the second quarter and never looked back. It was Aaron Jones’ turn to shine last week when he went HAM against an injury ravaged Detroit defense that allowed him to combine for 236 overall yards and 3 TD. Only this time, the Packers needed to fight back from a 14-3 first quarter deficit to pull out the decided 42-21 win and cover. Because of the pair of beat downs, the Packers odds of winning Super Bowl LV have been cut in half! That’s simply preposterous when you take into account how many an NFL aficionado was questioning last season’s record as being legit while laughing out loud about their draft selections.

New Orleans Saints Odds

The Saints came out victorious back in Week 1 against division rival Tampa Bay in Tom Brady’s debut as a Buccaneer. Though the 34-23 final looks like New Orleans cruised to the win and cover, a deeper dive into the box score paints a much different picture. The Saints combined for only 271 total yards and only made good on half of their six red zone trips. On top of that, it committed six costly penalties that docked them 119 yards! The worst part of the win came in the closing moments when Michael Thomas suffered a high ankle sprain that could keep him out of tonight’s game. The story got much worse in the desert where the Saints would cough up a 17-7 lead late in the second quarter and go on to lose by a 34-24 final count as 4-point favorites. The penalty issues that plagued them against the Bucs got even worse after 10 more were committed for a total of 129 yards. Vegas also dominated the time of possession battle, while the defense surrendered 282 passing yards to Derek Carr who made sweet music with TE Darren Waller all game long.

Packers vs. Saints Prediction

The Packers first two performances were without a doubt money in the bank. I made some cheddar backing them in each spot knowing full well Green Bay could mask its deficiencies on both sides of the ball. Remember, Green Bay was the owner of a league average offense a season ago, while the defense had all kinds of issues defending the run (No. 23). Nothing was made to improve either of those outputs in the offseason. While it ranks out as the No. 1 offense in the league heading into this matchup, it’s going to get humbled in a big way by a pissed off Saints defense that can stop the run, put pressure on opposing quarterbacks and play a solid brand of pass defense.

Alvin Kamara is going to go off against Green Bay’s run defense and call it out for what it truly is, a sieve! I can’t say the same for Jones who will face his stiffest test of the young season. With Adams possibly hobbled by a gimpy hamstring, I have no reservations about ponying up and betting against Marquez Valdes-Scantling or Allen Lazard rising up and leading the Pack to the upset victory. Payton has covered at a near 63 percent clip following a loss throughout his time in the bayou, and the Packers have only managed covers in one of these team’s last six run-ins against one another. Look for New Orleans to defend its house and serve the Packers up a big ‘ol slice of humble pie!