Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Analysis

PUBLISHED: Thursday, December 5th, 2019
LAST UPDATE: 03:29 pm, Thu, December 5, 2019

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Analysis
Closing championship Saturday out will be the No. 1 ranked Ohio State Buckeyes and No. 8 ranked Wisconsin Badgers who will go at one another for the second time this season from Lucas Oil Stadium in the Big Ten Championship Game.

Date & Time
December 7th, 2019 8:00pm
Lucas Oil Stadium
Media Coverage

Closing championship Saturday out will be the No. 1 ranked Ohio State Buckeyes and No. 8 ranked Wisconsin Badgers who will go at one another for the second time this season from Lucas Oil Stadium in the Big Ten Championship Game. Ryan Day’s kids had their way with the Badgers in the first meeting back in Week 9 when they logged the impressive 38-7 win and cover as 14+ point home favorites. Linemakers don’t expect the rematch to play out much differently after lining OSU gargantuan 18-point favorites. Does Wiscy have it in them to put an end to their seven-game losing streak in the recent rivalry, or will it once again be another Buckeyes romp? Tune to FOX on Saturday, December 7 at 8 p.m. ET to see how it all unfolds! 

College Football Odds

Wisconsin +16.5
Ohio State -16.5
Over/Under 56

Badgers vs. Buckeyes Analysis 

The Buckeyes initially hit the board as whopping 18-point neutral field favorites with the game total lined at 52.5. There’s been dramatic line movement with both the pointspread and total since. The betting markets look to be all in on Ohio State with 72 percent of the bet count and upwards of 90 percent of the handle in support of the Buckeyes. Be that as it may, reverse line movement has occurred with the number to beat down to -16.5 and normal juice attached to both sides. That said, more of the sharp money that’s rolled in has aligned itself with Paul Chryst’s kids so it looks like online sportsbooks are respecting the limited amount of sharp money as opposed to the heaping load of public money that’s surfaced on OSU. One area both sides agree upon is that points hit the board on Saturday night with 73 percent of the bets and 77 percent of the money riding the over. 

Wisconsin Badgers Odds 

If not for going into the Twin Cities and handing the Minnesota Golden Gophers an ugly 38-17 defeat as 3-point favorites last week, the Badgers wouldn’t be here. The huge road win and cover allowed for it to escape from the clutches of the nightmarish 24-23 loss to the Illinois Fighting Illini whom they went off the board favored to beat by 31 points back in Week 8. Any time you got a defense that concedes just 277 yards per game (No. 6) and less than 15 points per game, you’re going to succeed at the collegiate level. That’s exactly what Wiscy did in going 10-2 SU and 7-5 ATS in the regular season. This is a team that dominated both Michigan and Michigan State, and went on the road and won big games at Nebraska and Minnesota in a covering fashion to close the year. They won’t be intimidated by the Buckeyes even though they lost by 31 points in the first meeting. 

Ohio State Buckeyes Odds 

What else can one say about the job Day and his staff did taking over the Buckeyes program from Urban Meyer this season? Like the LSU Tigers, Ohio State passed every one of its tests with flying colors and added numerous style points along the way. Save for last week’s trip to the Big House, the Buckeyes laid two touchdowns or more in each of its previous 11 played games. On top of that, they went on to cover the closing college football odds eight times. Justin Fields was nothing short of electric in his first season under center in Columbus, while running back J.K. Dobbins did nothing but improve his draft stock by rushing for 1,657 yards and an absurd 19 TD. The former threw for 167 yards and 2 TD with the latter churning out 163 rushing yards and 2 TD in the first meeting against Wisconsin. If each is able to mimic those outputs, this game would likely turn into another one of those patented OSU routs! 

Wisconsin vs. Ohio State Prediction 

The last time these teams met in the Big Ten title game, Ohio State cruised to the 59-0 outright win as 4.5-point underdogs; they then went on to win the national championship. Though the Buckeyes are laying a gaggle of points in the rematch, it’s only 2-points higher than they did when hosting the Badgers in the regular season. Ohio State flat-out dominated the game en route to logging the 31-point victory. Fields and Dobbins couldn’t be stopped. The same can’t be said of Jonathan Taylor who only managed 52 scoreless yards on 20 carries. He represents Wisconsin’s best offensive weapon, and Chase Young and the rest of the defense turned him into nothing more than an afterthought. Ohio State is simply a different breed than that of Wisconsin. It’s that simple folks, so lay the points and enjoy taking in another woodshed beating!