Las Vegas Bowl Analysis

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PUBLISHED: Wednesday, December 18th, 2019
LAST UPDATE: 12:59 pm, Wed, December 18, 2019

Las Vegas Bowl Analysis
Kicking off the nightcap of Saturday’s extensive bowl lineup will be the Washington Huskies and No. 19 Boise State Broncos who collide under the lights of Sam Boyd Stadium in Sin City to compete in this year’s installment of the Las Vegas Bowl.

Date & Time
December 21st, 2019 7:30pm
Location
Sam Boyd Stadium
Media Coverage
ABC

Kicking off the nightcap of Saturday’s extensive bowl lineup will be the Washington Huskies and No. 19 Boise State Broncos who collide under the lights of Sam Boyd Stadium in Sin City to compete in this year’s installment of the Las Vegas Bowl. It’s only fitting to see these programs locking horns in the postseason with Chris Petersen overlooking both at one point in his career. The Huskies 6-year head coach shocked many after announcing he’d be stepping down following the bowl game, so emotions will be running high for U-Dub to send him out a winner against the program that allowed for him to hook such a big job in Seattle.

Take the festivities all in live on ABC at 7:30 p.m. ET with the Huskies installed 3.5-point favorites and the total set at 50. 

College Football Odds

Washington -3.5
Boise State +3.5
Over/Under 50
 

Washington vs. Boise State Betting Analysis 

The Huskies initially hit the board as 3-point neutral field favorites with the game total lined at 50. There’s been line movement with the pointspread since, while the total has held strong. The number to beat is up a half-point to -3.5 with 74 percent of the bet count and 74 percent of the money expecting Petersen to finally lead the team to a bowl win after failing to do so each of the last three seasons. The book on the Huskies was extremely easy to read this season. When they won, they covered. When they lost, they didn’t. It amounted to 7-5 SU and ATS records. The Broncos were once again the cream of the crop in the Mountain West. Because of it, linemakers forced them to eat copious amounts of chalk every passing week. It resulted in a 7-5-1 ATS record with the squad covering three of its final four matchups including the MWC title game beat down of Hawaii. 

Washington Huskies Odds 

After competing in the Peach, Fiesta and Rose Bowl the last three seasons, the Las Vegas Bowl is without a doubt the least attractive. However, it makes sense due to the downward slope the program travelled upon over the course of the 2019 season. But with so much lost from the roster of the teams that were in the CFP mix the last three seasons, regression was bound to occur. Even so, there is one thing on the mind of the team and one thing only after Petersen posted this in the Huskies locker room following the 31-13 demolition of Washington State in the Apple Cup, "Flush the circumstances. Forget the past. Disregard the distractions. Win the bowl game." It’s pretty safe to assume U-Dub invades Sin City with one thing on its mind; taking the wood to their head coach’s former team! 

Boise State Broncos Odds 

If not for dropping a 28-25 decision to BYU in Mormon country back in Week 8, the Broncos would’ve gone undefeated this season. That said, the schedule was easy as pie so they likely would’ve gone the way of UCF had they remained unblemished. The year kicked off with a fantastic comeback win in Tallahassee versus the Florida State Seminoles, but that win in the Doak was arguably their best of the season. There were beat downs of Air Force, Hawaii (twice), New Mexico and Utah State on the ledger, but none of them are enough to really get you excited about this team. That said, it has the weaponry on both sides of the ball to give U-Dub a major run for its money; especially on the defensive side of the ball where it shuts opposing running games down (No. 19) and allows just over 20 points per game (No. 24). 

Las Vegas Bowl Prediction 

Having stood up to the likes of USC, Stanford, Oregon and Utah, Washington has played by far the tougher of the two schedules. While it only managed 1-3 SU and ATS showings in those matchups, the Huskies only dropped the three games by an average of 6.3 points per game. It had both the Ducks and Utes on the ropes in the fourth quarter, but failed to come through. In my opinion, Boise State is a fraud this season. They played nobody! Pair that with an extremely motivated Washington team invading Sin City whose sole goal is to send their coach out a winner, and I can’t help but recommend backing U-Dub on the betting lines in some way, shape or form. Look for the seniors to finally taste the thrill of a bowl victory!