The college football betting season will have 15 weeks in the books once the teams put a wrap on Championship Week this Saturday. The betting lines have been on the move ever since hitting the board earlier in the week.
The college football betting season will have 15 weeks in the books once the teams put a wrap on Championship Week this Saturday. The betting lines have been on the move ever since hitting the board earlier in the week. One of the main reasons why college football bettors witness such enormous line moves early on is because of respected sharp – or wise guy – money infiltrating the markets. Bets from these whales catch the eye of online sportsbook managers which force betting lines to be adjusted immediately. The following are some of the more notable line moves that occurred this week once the sharp money showed its hand.
LAST WEEK: 2-3 ATS / YTD 41-28-1 ATS
Central Michigan: Open (-3) Current (-6.5)
Seriously, how ugly was the MAC this season? The entrants into the MAC title game own 7-5 and 8-4 records respectively with each logging 6-2 records in conference play. Be that as it may, the wise guys have taken a liking to the Chippewas who closed the regular season out with three straight wins and covers against Northern Illinois, Ball State and Toledo to earn its way to the Motor City. The finale against the Rockets came away as most impressive after logging the 49-7 win and cover by way of running the ball down Toledo’s throat with Kobe Lewis, Jonathan Ward and Tommy Lazarro combining for 251 yards and 5 total touchdowns. The Redhawks serve up better than 180 rushing yards per game, so it’s pretty safe to assume they’re going to have a tough time preventing Central Michigan from running roughshod in the title game.
Baylor: Open (+9.5)
Baylor really let one get away from them in the first showdown against the Sooners a few weeks back. Luckily for Matt Rhule’s kids, they’ll get a second chance at redemption when the Bears and Oklahoma square off in Saturday’s Big 12 Championship Game. Even though the Sooners held a near 23 minute time of possession advantage, the Bears were able to even it up by taking advantage of OU’s leaky special teams in racking up just under 150 yards. On top of that, the Bears defense picked Jalen Hurts off once and forced five Sooner fumbles of which they were only able to pounce on two of them. Charlies Brewer has thrown a grand total of six interceptions to go along with 20 TD passes in 2019. Not one of those errant throws occurred in Big 12 play. That’s simply sensational! The wise guy picks are banking on the Bears not killing themselves with turnovers and taking care of the opportunities on the other side of the ball should Oklahoma be in a charitable kind of mood.
Hawaii: Open (+14.5)
Though Boise State waxed the Rainbow Warriors 59-37 in the Mountain West rival’s first showdown way back in Week 7, the wise guys have jumped at the opportunity to snag Nick Rolovich’s kids plus the points in the rematch. Since dropping back-to-back games against the Broncos and Air Force, Hawaii closed the year out winning five of its final six games and covered the closing college football odds in four of them. They put the finishing touches on the regular season with an impressive beat down of Army. The Rainbow Warriors flat-out killed themselves with turnovers in the first meeting with three fumbles and an interception. Boise State was able to take advantage of each and every one of them with the quadrant ultimately leading to 28 points. The wise guys are banking on Cole McDonald and company taking much better care of the pigskin in the second go round.
Georgia: Open (+7)
Surprisingly, sharp money is getting in front of the runaway freight train otherwise known as the 2019 LSU Tigers. An interesting decision considering Coach Orgeron’s kids have passed just about every stiff test with flying colors. That said, Joe Burrow and his offensive mates are yet to run up against a defense as stingy as the one the Georgia Bulldogs will bring with them to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday night. Kirby Smart’s stop unit gives up next to nothing on the ground, not much more through the air and concedes an average of just 10.4 points per game; second only to Clemson’s 10.1 points per game allowed. With that, the wise guy picks are banking of the Dawgs’ defense rising to the challenge of putting a cork in the Tigers offense and keeping it close. I’m not sold UGA’s offense has enough in the tank to get the job done, but the Bulldogs are fighting to hold onto their bid to the College Football Playoff so anything is possible.